Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaVoyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 6, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.00
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
71
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
168
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Long passes
58% (26/45)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)45% (36/80)
Crosses
36% (10/28)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.87
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1538
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
2.001.96
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. , Zalewski N. (A),
  • 22', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Boiro A. , Sancet O. ,
  • 54', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Guruzeta G. , Navarro R. (A),
  • 59', Rego A. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. ,
  • 59', Jauregizar M. , Vesga M. ,
  • 66', Zalewski N. , Lookman A. ,
  • 66', Scamacca G. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 68', Gomez U. , Serrano N. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Serrano N. , Navarro R. (A),
  • 74', 1 - 3, Navarro R. , Sancet O. (A),
  • 76', Kolasinac S. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 76', Zappacosta D. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 81', Gorosabel A. , Areso J. ,
  • 82', Bernasconi L. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Krstovic N. , Lookman A. (A),
  • 90+5', Carnesecchi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
55.9%
Draw
25.7%
Athletic Bilbao
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 25.6% 22.6%

Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.9)
3.72
(3.64)
5.19
(4.13)
4.5%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atalanta (2.19) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Athletic (1.98) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (80 of 91 users predict this - 87.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.21%94.61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 36 - 87.8%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Godfrey B. (Inactive) Raspadori G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Berchiche Y. (Muscle Injury) Berenguer A. (Toe Injury) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Djimsiti B. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Atalanta
    16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2:0
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2
    03.01.2026 Atalanta - Roma 1:0
    28.12.2025 Atalanta - Inter Milan 0:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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