Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:3
21/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaVoyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 6, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.00
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
71
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
168
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Long passes
58% (26/45)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)45% (36/80)
Crosses
36% (10/28)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.87
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1538
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
2.001.96
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
  • 22', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Boiro A. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
  • 54', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Navarro R. (A),
  • 59', Rego A. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
  • 59', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
  • 66', Zalewski N. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
  • 66', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
  • 68', Gomez U. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Serrano N. ⚽, Navarro R. (A),
  • 74', 1 - 3, Navarro R. ⚽, Sancet O. (A),
  • 76', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
  • 76', Zappacosta D. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
  • 81', Gorosabel A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
  • 82', Bernasconi L. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Krstovic N. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
  • 90+5', Carnesecchi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
55.9%		Draw
25.7%		Athletic Bilbao
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 25.6% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
    •

    Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↓
    (1.9)    		 3.72 ↑
    (3.64)    		 5.19 ↑
    (4.13)    		 4.5%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atalanta (2.19) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Athletic (1.98) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (80 of 91 users predict this - 87.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.21% – 94.61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 36 - 87.8%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Godfrey B. (Inactive) Raspadori G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Berchiche Y. (Muscle Injury) Berenguer A. (Toe Injury) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Djimsiti B. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Atalanta
    16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2:0 ✺
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Atalanta - Roma 1:0 ✺
    28.12.2025 Atalanta - Inter Milan 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    17.01.2026 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺
    07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0 ✺
    03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺
    22.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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