Bayern Munich vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
18/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Selekt, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Action, Canal+
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.612.30
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
88
Big chances
84
Corner kicks
63
Passes
93% (801/859)85% (298/351)
Expected goals (xG)
3.612.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.253.15
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
81
Shots inside the box
1510
Shots outside the box
104
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
84
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
48
Passes
93% (801/859)85% (298/351)
Long passes
68% (25/37)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
85% (215/254)69% (44/64)
Crosses
14% (2/14)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.83
Throw ins
149
Fouls
84
Tackles
53% (10/19)44% (4/9)
Duels won
3627
Clearances
824
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
74
xGOT faced
3.152.25
Goals prevented
2.15-1.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Kane H. , Stanisic J. (A),
  • 56', Pavlovic A. , Ofli D. ,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Karl L. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 57', Ederson , De Roon M. ,
  • 57', De Ketelaere C. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 70', 4 - 0, Diaz L. , Karl L. (A),
  • 71', Scamacca G. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 71', Sulemana K. , Raspadori G. ,
  • 72', Kane H. , Jackson N. ,
  • 72', Stanisic J. , Pavic F. ,
  • 72', Bischof T. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 83', Scalvini G. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 83', Guerreiro R. , Ito H. ,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Samardzic L. , Pasalic M. (A),

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
69.6%
Draw
16.9%
Atalanta
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.9% 16.2% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4% 15.9% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Bayern Munich - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.31)
    5.71
    (5.9)
    7.09
    (8.83)
    4%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 50 - 86.2%). Atalanta will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 77.3%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Atalanta (3.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Atalanta (1.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1 - Atalanta (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 13 - 65%). Atalanta (votes: 7 - 35%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 6-1. Second leg.
    • Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atalanta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Hamstring Injury) Ito H. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Kimmich J. (Yellow Cards) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Musiala J. (Ankle Injury) Ndiaye B. (Inactive) Olise M. (Yellow Cards) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Musah Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Neuer M. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Atalanta were as follows:
    10.03.2026 Atalanta - Bayern Munich 1:6
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Atalanta
    14.03.2026 Inter Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    10.03.2026 Atalanta - Bayern Munich 1:6
    07.03.2026 Atalanta - Udinese 2:2
    04.03.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 2:2
    01.03.2026 Sassuolo - Atalanta 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2