Atalanta vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

New Balance Arena (Bergamo).

Serie A - Round 15
Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.60	0.54
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
86% (467/545)	81% (310/381)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.86	0.79
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
29	10
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
86% (467/545)	81% (310/381)
Long passes
44% (16/36)	48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)	63% (39/62)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.63
Throw-ins
19	17
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
50% (7/14)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
42	56
Clearances
25	19
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.79	2.86
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
33', Bernasconi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Djimsiti B. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
57', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
58', Zappa G. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
58', Borrelli G. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
66', Bernasconi L. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
66', Ederson ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
66', Rodriguez J. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Gaetano G. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
76', Gaetano G. 🟨,
79', Zappacosta D. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
79', Kossounou O. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Scamacca G. ⚽,
87', Adopo M. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
87', Luperto S. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
70.7%

Draw
18.4%

Cagliari
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

18.1%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Atalanta - Cagliari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	5.17 ↓ (5.26)	8.84 ↑ (8.63)	4.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Cagliari?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 34.6% – 73%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 2 - 50%). Cagliari (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Atalanta (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 3 - 60%). Cagliari (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
Atalanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cagliari has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atalanta is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Sulemana K. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Mina Y. (Contusion) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
We predict that Atalanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Cagliari?

Atalanta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Atalanta?

Cagliari has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Cagliari were as follows:

15.02.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 0:0

14.12.2024 Cagliari - Atalanta 0:1

07.04.2024 Cagliari - Atalanta 2:1

24.09.2023 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:0

Latest results of Atalanta

09.12.2025 Atalanta - Chelsea 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Verona - Atalanta 3:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Atalanta - Genoa 4:0 ✺

30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺

26.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Atalanta 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Cagliari

07.12.2025 Cagliari - Roma 1:0 ✺

03.12.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Juventus - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Cagliari - Genoa 3:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Como - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	27	22	1	4	64:21	43	67
2	AC Milan	27	16	9	2	43:20	23	57
3	Napoli	27	16	5	6	41:28	13	53
4	AS Roma	27	16	3	8	37:19	18	51
5	Como	27	13	9	5	44:20	24	48
6	Juventus	27	13	8	6	46:28	18	47
7	Atalanta	27	12	9	6	37:24	13	45
8	Bologna	27	11	6	10	36:32	4	39
9	Sassuolo	27	11	5	11	34:36	-2	38
10	Udinese	27	10	5	12	31:39	-8	35
11	Lazio	27	8	10	9	26:27	-1	34
12	Parma	27	8	9	10	20:32	-12	33
13	Cagliari	27	7	9	11	29:36	-7	30
14	Torino	27	8	6	13	27:47	-20	30
15	Genoa	27	6	9	12	32:39	-7	27
16	Fiorentina	27	5	9	13	30:42	-12	24
17	Cremonese	27	5	9	13	21:38	-17	24
18	Lecce	27	6	6	15	18:36	-18	24
19	Pisa	27	1	12	14	20:44	-24	15
20	Verona	27	2	9	16	20:48	-28	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B