Result
2:1
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1 |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, Space Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (416/494) | 86% (437/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (416/494) | 86% (437/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 44% (16/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (60/82) | 69% (85/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
- 25', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, James R. (A),
- 29', Chalobah T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Chalobah T. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Scamacca G. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
- 67', Fernandez E. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
- 67', Neto P. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
- 71', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
- 71', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
- 76', Fofana W. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
- 87', Ederson ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
- 87', Lookman A. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atalanta
28.1% | Draw
27.7% | Chelsea
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Atalanta - Chelsea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↓
(3.44) |
3.47 ↓
(3.74) |
2.19 ↑
(2.07) |
3.7%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Chelsea?
Users Predictions:
85 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 13 - 15.3%). Chelsea will win (votes: 57 - 67.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 57.1% – 77.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Chelsea (votes: 27 - 71.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Chelsea (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Atalanta (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Chelsea (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Chelsea (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Chelsea (votes: 31 - 72.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
Sulemana K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L.
(Knee Injury)
Delap L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Essugo D.
(Thigh Injury)
Lavia R.
(Thigh Injury)
Mudryk M.
(Suspended)
Palmer C.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Slonina G.
(Inactive)
Sterling R.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Chelsea?
Atalanta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Atalanta?
Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Chelsea were as follows:
Latest results of Atalanta
Latest results of Chelsea
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
