Genoa vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Genoa - Atalanta
Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.91
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
81% (375/461)81% (304/377)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.48
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
81% (375/461)81% (304/377)
Long passes
51% (30/59)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
53% (43/81)62% (58/94)
Crosses
39% (9/23)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.33
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1014
Tackles
85% (11/13)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5038
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.481.38
Goals prevented
-1.52-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Vasquez J. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sulemana I. ⚽, Ruggeri M. (A),
  • 56', Ruggeri M. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Sabelli S. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Maldini D. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
  • 66', Sabelli S. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
  • 67', Badelj M. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
  • 74', Brescianini M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
  • 74', Maldini D. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
  • 74', Palestra M. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
  • 77', Vitinha ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
  • 77', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
  • 81', Sulemana I. ↓, Ederson ↑,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Retegui M. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Genoa
24.4%		Draw
25.9%		Atalanta
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 24% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 23.1% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Genoa - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.07 ↓
    (5.46)    		 3.77 ↓
    (4)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.65)    		 3.7%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 5 - 8.8%). Atalanta will win (votes: 42 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 62.3% – 85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Genoa (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
    • Genoa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Atalanta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Atalanta is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Balotelli M. (Coach's decision) Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Miretti F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Djimsiti B. (Yellow Cards) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Palestra M. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury) Ekuban C. (Thigh Injury) Matturro A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Toloi R. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:43. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Atalanta were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Atalanta - Genoa 5:1
    11.02.2024 Genoa - Atalanta 1:4
    22.10.2023 Atalanta - Genoa 2:0
    Latest results of Genoa
    11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2 ✺
    05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Como - Genoa 1:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Verona - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atalanta
    12.05.2025 Atalanta - Roma 2:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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