Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Optus Sport |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | TLN, VIVA |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/461) | 81% (304/377) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/461) | 81% (304/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (43/81) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.52 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', Vasquez J. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 0, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 1, Sulemana I. ⚽, Ruggeri M. (A),
- 56', Ruggeri M. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Sabelli S. (A),
- 63', 2 - 2, Maldini D. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
- 66', Sabelli S. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
- 67', Badelj M. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
- 74', Brescianini M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
- 74', Maldini D. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
- 74', Palestra M. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
- 77', Vitinha ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
- 77', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 81', Sulemana I. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Retegui M. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
Chances of winning
Genoa
24.4% | Draw
25.9% | Atalanta
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genoa - Atalanta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↓
(5.46) |
3.77 ↓
(4) |
1.9 ↑
(1.65) |
3.7%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Atalanta?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 5 - 8.8%). Atalanta will win (votes: 42 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 62.3% – 85.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Genoa (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
- Genoa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atalanta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Atalanta is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Genoa: Balotelli M.
(Coach's decision)
Cuenca Martinez H. F.
(Injury)
Malinovsky R.
(Ankle Injury)
Miretti F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J.
(Muscle Injury)
Djimsiti B.
(Yellow Cards)
Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
Palestra M.
(Muscle Injury)
Scalvini G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M.
(Thigh Injury)
Ekuban C.
(Thigh Injury)
Matturro A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Posch S.
(Thigh Injury)
Toloi R.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:43. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Atalanta?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Genoa?
Atalanta has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Atalanta were as follows:
05.10.2024
Atalanta
-
Genoa
5:1
11.02.2024
Genoa
-
Atalanta
1:4
22.10.2023
Atalanta
-
Genoa
2:0
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Cremonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Lecce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
