Atalanta vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 17
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.12
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
84% (354/423)87% (461/529)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.94
Total shots
715
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
84% (354/423)87% (461/529)
Long passes
66% (43/65)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
77% (83/108)72% (102/142)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.84
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
812
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.940.00
Goals prevented
-0.060.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zappacosta D. , Musah Y. ,
  • 58', Pasalic M. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 64', Thuram M. , Esposito F. ,
  • 65', Zalewski N. , Bernasconi L. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Martinez L. , Esposito F. (A),
  • 75', Kolasinac S. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 76', Barella N. , Mkhitaryan H. ,
  • 76', Dimarco F. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 77', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 80', Sulemana K. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez L. , Diouf A. ,
  • 84', Zielinski P. , Frattesi D. ,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
26.6%
Draw
26.7%
Inter Milan
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 26.7% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 26.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Atalanta - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.13)
    3.58
    (3.56)
    2.06
    (2.21)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 14 - 12.6%). Inter will win (votes: 83 - 74.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 12.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 66.7%82.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Atalanta (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Inter (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atalanta (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Atalanta (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 54 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 9.3%). Inter (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 0.
    • Atalanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Inter might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Kossounou O. (International duty) Lookman A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Thigh Injury) Bonny A. (Knee Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Djimsiti B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Inter Milan were as follows:
    02.01.2025 Inter Milan - Atalanta 2:0
    30.08.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0
    28.02.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0
    04.11.2023 Atalanta - Inter Milan 1:2
    27.05.2023 Inter Milan - Atalanta 3:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    21.12.2025 Genoa - Atalanta 0:1
    13.12.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:1
    09.12.2025 Atalanta - Chelsea 2:1
    06.12.2025 Verona - Atalanta 3:1
    03.12.2025 Atalanta - Genoa 4:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    19.12.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 2:1
    14.12.2025 Genoa - Inter Milan 1:2
    09.12.2025 Inter Milan - Liverpool 0:1
    06.12.2025 Inter Milan - Como 4:0
    03.12.2025 Inter Milan - Venezia 5:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B