Lazio vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belarusBelarusSport TV
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV
italyItaly20 Mediaset, Canale 5, Infinity+, Italia 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.010.54
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
33
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
13
Passes
87% (436/504)89% (460/519)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.53
Total shots
610
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
135
Passes
87% (436/504)89% (460/519)
Long passes
72% (43/60)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
78% (107/138)80% (104/130)
Crosses
10% (1/10)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.45
Throw ins
1912
Fouls
513
Tackles
73% (8/11)17% (2/12)
Duels won
4127
Clearances
915
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.530.94
Goals prevented
-1.47-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', De Roon M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Dele-Bashiru F. , Maldini D. (A),
  • 51', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ,
  • 64', Isaksen G. , Cancellieri M. ,
  • 64', Scalvini G. , Kossounou O. ,
  • 64', De Roon M. , Musah Y. ,
  • 66', Sarri M. 🟨,
  • 66', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 69', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 76', Kolasinac S. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 76', Samardzic L. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 76', Zaccagni M. , Noslin T. ,
  • 76', Maldini D. , Dia B. ,
  • 83', Taylor K. , Belahyane R. ,
  • 85', Krstovic N. , Scamacca G. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Dia B. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Musah Y. , Sulemana K. (A),
  • 90+5', Hien I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lazio
31.3%
Draw
30.8%
Atalanta
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 27.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lazio - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (3.31)
    3.09
    (3.41)
    2.49
    (2.16)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lazio - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Atalanta will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atalanta (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lazio (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 2 - 20%). Atalanta (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lazio has had a series of away games.
    • Atalanta could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Knee Injury) Maldini D. (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Ederson (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Atalanta were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    19.10.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:0
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1
    28.12.2024 Lazio - Atalanta 1:1
    04.02.2024 Atalanta - Lazio 3:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    01.03.2026 Torino - Lazio 2:0
    21.02.2026 Cagliari - Lazio 0:0
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    11.02.2026 Bologna - Lazio 1:2
    08.02.2026 Juventus - Lazio 2:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    01.03.2026 Sassuolo - Atalanta 2:1
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17AtalantaBye
    21EmpoliBye
    22ByeReggiana
    23GenoaBye
    24PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    25JuventusBye
    29UdineseBye
    30ByeCarrarese
    31CremoneseBye
    32ByePalermo
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49NapoliBye
    53MonzaBye
    54ByeFrosinone
    55CagliariBye
    56EntellaTernana4 : 0
    57FiorentinaBye
    61ComoBye
    62ByeSudtirol
    63SassuoloBye
    64ByeCatanzaro

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9AtalantaBye
    11EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    12GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    13JuventusBye
    15UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    16CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25NapoliBye
    27MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    28CagliariEntella2 : 1
    29FiorentinaBye
    31ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    32SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia3 : 2
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5AtalantaBye
    6EmpoliGenoa1 : 3
    7JuventusBye
    8UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia0 : 1
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa1 : 0
    13NapoliBye
    14FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4
    15FiorentinaBye
    16ComoSassuolo3 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaParma2 : 1
    2LazioAC Milan1 : 0
    3AtalantaGenoa4 : 0
    4JuventusUdinese2 : 0
    5InterVenezia5 : 1
    6AS RomaTorino2 : 3
    7NapoliCagliari2 : 1
    8FiorentinaComo1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1BolognaLazio1 : 2
    2AtalantaJuventus3 : 0
    3InterTorino2 : 1
    4NapoliComo1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LazioAtalanta2 : 2
    2InterComo0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2