Lazio vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lazio
28.3%
Draw
28.1%
Atalanta
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 27.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Lazio - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.31)
    3.32
    (3.41)
    2.18
    (2.16)
    5.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • Lazio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atalanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atalanta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Atalanta were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    19.10.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:0
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1
    28.12.2024 Lazio - Atalanta 1:1
    04.02.2024 Atalanta - Lazio 3:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    21.02.2026 Cagliari - Lazio 0:0
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    11.02.2026 Bologna - Lazio 1:2
    08.02.2026 Juventus - Lazio 2:2
    30.01.2026 Lazio - Genoa 3:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2
    09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17AtalantaBye
    21EmpoliBye
    22ByeReggiana
    23GenoaBye
    24PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    25JuventusBye
    29UdineseBye
    30ByeCarrarese
    31CremoneseBye
    32ByePalermo
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49NapoliBye
    53MonzaBye
    54ByeFrosinone
    55CagliariBye
    56EntellaTernana4 : 0
    57FiorentinaBye
    61ComoBye
    62ByeSudtirol
    63SassuoloBye
    64ByeCatanzaro

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9AtalantaBye
    11EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    12GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    13JuventusBye
    15UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    16CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25NapoliBye
    27MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    28CagliariEntella2 : 1
    29FiorentinaBye
    31ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    32SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia3 : 2
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5AtalantaBye
    6EmpoliGenoa1 : 3
    7JuventusBye
    8UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia0 : 1
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa1 : 0
    13NapoliBye
    14FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4
    15FiorentinaBye
    16ComoSassuolo3 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaParma2 : 1
    2LazioAC Milan1 : 0
    3AtalantaGenoa4 : 0
    4JuventusUdinese2 : 0
    5InterVenezia5 : 1
    6AS RomaTorino2 : 3
    7NapoliCagliari2 : 1
    8FiorentinaComo1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1BolognaLazio1 : 2
    2AtalantaJuventus3 : 0
    3InterTorino2 : 1
    4NapoliComo1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LazioAtalanta
    2InterComo

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2