Atalanta vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.33
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
91% (466/514)84% (345/412)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.53
Total shots
176
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
89
Passes
91% (466/514)84% (345/412)
Long passes
63% (29/46)31% (10/32)
Passes in final third
87% (130/149)60% (55/92)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.52
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
98
Tackles
90% (9/10)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3237
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.530.48
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Ricci S. ,
  • 9', Gimenez S. 🟨,
  • 20', De Roon M. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Lookman A. , Pasalic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Leao R. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 62', Gimenez S. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 71', Bernasconi L. , Bellanova R. ,
  • 72', Ahanor H. , Djimsiti B. ,
  • 77', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 82', Pasalic M. , Musah Y. ,
  • 82', De Ketelaere C. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 90', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 90+3', Brescianini M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gabbia M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
35.4%
Draw
28.6%
Milan
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 27% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.7% 37.3%

Atalanta - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.74
(2.75)
3.41
(3.53)
2.66
(2.5)
3.6%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 8 - 14.5%). Milan will win (votes: 27 - 49.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 35.9%62.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Atalanta (1.92) (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
    • Atalanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Milan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Estupinan P. (Ankle Injury) Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Pulisic C. (Thigh Injury) Rabiot A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Milan were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1
    06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1
    25.02.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:2
    09.12.2023 Atalanta - Milan 3:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    25.10.2025 Cremonese - Atalanta 1:1
    22.10.2025 Atalanta - Slavia Prague 0:0
    19.10.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:0
    04.10.2025 Atalanta - Como 1:1
    30.09.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    24.10.2025 Milan - Pisa 2:2
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Juventus - Milan 0:0
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1255215:11420
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1225512:17-511
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B