Result
1:1
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 9
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (466/514) | 84% (345/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (466/514) | 84% (345/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 31% (10/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (130/149) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ricci S. ⚽,
- 9', Gimenez S. 🟨,
- 20', De Roon M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 1, Lookman A. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Leao R. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
- 62', Gimenez S. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
- 71', Bernasconi L. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
- 72', Ahanor H. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,
- 77', Modric L. 🟨,
- 82', Pasalic M. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
- 82', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
- 90', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
- 90+3', Brescianini M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gabbia M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atalanta
35.4% | Draw
28.6% | Milan
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Atalanta - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.75) |
3.41 ↓
(3.53) |
2.66 ↑
(2.5) |
3.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Milan?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 8 - 14.5%). Milan will win (votes: 27 - 49.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 35.9% – 62.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Milan (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Atalanta (1.92) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Milan (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
- Atalanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Milan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
Scalvini G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Estupinan P.
(Ankle Injury)
Jashari A.
(Calf Injury)
Pulisic C.
(Thigh Injury)
Rabiot A.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Milan?
Atalanta has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Atalanta?
Milan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Milan were as follows:
20.04.2025
Milan
-
Atalanta
0:1
06.12.2024
Atalanta
-
Milan
2:1
25.02.2024
Milan
-
Atalanta
1:1
10.01.2024
Milan
-
Atalanta
1:2
09.12.2023
Atalanta
-
Milan
3:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 65:23 | 42 | 68 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Como | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Juventus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51:28 | 23 | 53 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38:34 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Lazio | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Udinese | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:44 | -21 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 29 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Verona | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22:51 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
