Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 27
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
World | Starzplay Sports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (144/208) | 92% (603/655) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 60 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (144/208) | 92% (603/655) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 81% (21/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 91% (341/374) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 28% (12/43) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.64 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Idzes J. 🟨,
- 16', Pinamonti A. 🟥,
- 21', Bernasconi L. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Kone I. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
- 45+2', Grosso F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
- 46', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
- 46', Bernasconi L. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
- 57', Matic N. 🟨,
- 58', Zalewski N. 🟨,
- 67', Zalewski N. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
- 73', Berardi D. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
- 73', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
- 74', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
- 76', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
- 79', Fadera A. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Musah Y. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
- 89', Kone I. ↓, Doig J. ↑,
- 90+7', Palladino R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sassuolo 26.6% | Draw 28% | Atalanta 45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sassuolo - Atalanta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.62 ↓ (3.78) |
3.39 ↓ (3.6) |
2.12 ↑ (1.95) |
4.3% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sassuolo - Atalanta?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Atalanta will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 64.9% – 92.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sassuolo (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Sassuolo (3.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sassuolo (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Atalanta (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Atalanta (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atalanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D.
(Muscle Injury)
Cande F.
(Knee Injury)
Pieragnolo E.
(Knee Injury)
Walukiewicz S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C.
(Knee Injury)
Raspadori G.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:48. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.9:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Atalanta?
Sassuolo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Sassuolo?
Atalanta has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sassuolo - Atalanta were as follows:
09.11.2025
Atalanta
-
Sassuolo
0:3
17.02.2024
Atalanta
-
Sassuolo
3:0
03.01.2024
Atalanta
-
Sassuolo
3:1
20.08.2023
Sassuolo
-
Atalanta
0:2
04.02.2023
Sassuolo
-
Atalanta
1:0
Latest results of Sassuolo
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B