Atenas de San Carlos vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguay Copa Atenas de San Carlos - Liverpool Montevideo
Result
2:3 penalties
06/11/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: COPA URUGUAY - 1/16-FINALS

Chances of winning


Atenas de San Carlos
14.1%
Draw
20.5%
Liverpool Montevideo
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 24.6% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 24.1% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atenas de San Carlos's form might have worsened.
  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atenas de San Carlos - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.5
    (4.1)
    4.46
    (3.7)
    1.4
    (1.71)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Atenas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Liverpool is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Atenas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atenas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Frontera RiveraNacional1 : 5
    2DuraznoUruguay Montevideo2 : 1
    3Litoral PaysanduPlaza Colonia1 : 3
    4Piriapolis (WO.)Penarol
    5Paso de la ArenaMontevideo City0 : 2
    6Rio Negro SJ (WO.)Danubio
    718 de Julio FB (WO.)CA Cerro
    8Rincon (WO.)Progreso
    9Deportivo ColoniaJuventud1 : 2
    10San CarlosAlbion0 : 2
    11Villa Espanola (WO.)Wanderers
    12Atletico JuanicoBoston River0 : 2
    13Paysandu Bella VistaDefensor Sp.0 : 3
    14BristolRacing Montevideo1 : 2
    15Ferro CarrilOriental2 : 1
    16Melo Wanderers (WO.)Cerro Largo

    1/8-finals
    1NacionalDurazno4 : 0
    2Plaza ColoniaPiriapolis1 : 0
    3Montevideo CityRio Negro SJ5 : 1
    418 de Julio FBRincon3 : 2
    5JuventudAlbion0 : 2
    6Villa EspanolaBoston River0 : 2
    7Defensor Sp.Racing Montevideo1 : 0
    8Ferro CarrilMelo Wanderers2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1NacionalPlaza Colonia4 : 0
    2Montevideo City18 de Julio FB4 : 0
    3AlbionBoston River0 : 2
    4Defensor Sp.Ferro Carril6 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1NacionalMontevideo City4 : 0
    2Boston RiverDefensor Sp.0 : 1

    Final
    1NacionalDefensor Sp.2 : 3