Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 26
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports, Disney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, Disney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.44
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
36
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
03
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
87
Offsides
40
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1724
Touches in the Opposition Box
1923
Passes
83% (405/486)84% (400/479)
Passes in the final third
65% (60/93)69% (72/104)
Crosses
43% (9/21)32% (7/22)
Tackles
77% (17/22)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
1921
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Sorloth A. 🟨,
  • 58', Simeone G. , Llorente M. ,
  • 59', Lino S. , Gallagher C. ,
  • 59', Sorloth A. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 62', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
  • 63', Griezmann A. , Correa A. ,
  • 63', Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 64', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. , Llorente M. (A),
  • 69', Barrios P. , Gimenez J. M. ,
  • 77', Berenguer A. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 77', Gorosabel A. , de Marcos O. ,
  • 81', Jauregizar M. , Vesga M. ,
  • 87', Alvarez Y. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3re7jw6t

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
46.5%
Draw
28.4%
Athletic Bilbao
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 26.2% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.87)
    3.4
    (3.59)
    3.85
    (4.37)
    3.3%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 61 - 78.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 69%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Injury) Koke (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:23 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    27.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:1
    29.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 3:0
    07.02.2024 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    16.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2