Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (452/524) | 72% (215/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (452/524) | 72% (215/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (146/190) | 49% (34/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 100% (16/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Otermin R. 🟨,
- 8', Elexpuru A. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Martin N. ⚽,
- 22', Martin N. 🟨,
- 35', Otermin R. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Nevado N. ⚽, Elexpuru A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sarriegi A. ↓, Luany ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Iannuzzi F. ⚽, Luany (A),
- 58', Zubieta M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
- 58', Amezaga J. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 60', Martin N. ↓, Menayo C. ↑,
- 69', Jensen S. ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
- 75', Oguiza I. 🟨,
- 77', Nevado N. ↓, Agote D. ↑,
- 77', Landaluze N. ↓, Gurtubay E. ↑,
- 78', Lauren Leal 🟨,
- 84', Valero M. 🟨,
- 86', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
- 86', Boe Risa V. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 90+7', Ortega S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
24.3% | Draw
26.9% | Atlético Madrid
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(3.96) |
3.41 ↑
(3.37) |
1.88 ↑
(1.79) |
9.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0.
- Athletic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Madrid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlético Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético Madrid might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Atlético Madrid?
Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Athletic Bilbao?
Atlético Madrid has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
04.02.2026
Atlético Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
4:1
04.10.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:1
04.05.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
05.10.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Atlético Madrid
0:2
06.08.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Atlético Madrid
0:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
