Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa De La Reina
Result
4:1
04/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de la Reina Women - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.120.42
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
63
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
22
Passes
79% (295/373)79% (301/379)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.120.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.89
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1413
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
912
Passes
79% (295/373)79% (301/379)
Long passes
47% (33/70)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)68% (68/100)
Crosses
25% (4/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.53
Throw ins
2225
Fouls
129
Tackles
80% (16/20)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.891.89
Goals prevented
-0.11-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Jensen S. ⚽, Sarriegi A. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Sarriegi A. ⚽, Lauren Leal (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Campos A. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
  • 53', Bartel J. 🟨,
  • 58', Banos L. ↓, Gurtubay E. ↑,
  • 58', Nevado N. ↓, Zaldivar N. ↑,
  • 58', Valero M. ↓, Agote D. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Iannuzzi F. ⚽, Sarriegi A. (A),
  • 66', Jensen S. ↓, Chinchilla P. ↑,
  • 66', Bartel J. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Sarriegi A. ⚽, Chinchilla P. (A),
  • 80', Boe Risa V. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
  • 80', Sarriegi A. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
  • 83', Menayo C. ↓, Perez X. ↑,
  • 86', Landaluze N. ↓, Torre Larranaga M. ↑,
  • 89', Pinedo C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 1, Azkona A. ⚽, Elexpuru A. (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
56.2%		Draw
25.2%		Athletic Bilbao
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 24.9% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 26.9% 19.8%

Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.64 ↓
(1.67)		 3.62 ↑
(3.6)		 4.89 ↑
(4.2)		 9.2%
(11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 2.
    • Atlético Madrid is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Madrid is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:17. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    04.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    05.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    06.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:0
    14.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    31.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Granada 1:1
    20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:1
    17.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Espanyol 0:1
    14.01.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 5:0
    10.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 5:5
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    31.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 2:1
    21.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 3:1
    18.01.2026 Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao 5:0
    13.01.2026 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    10.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Badalona 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1Guiniguada Apolinario WDep. La Coruna W1 : 3
    2ByeReal Sociedad W
    3CA Osasuna WBadalona W0 : 3
    4ByeGranada CF W
    5Valencia WEspanyol W1 : 2
    6ByeReal Madrid W
    7Alaves WLevante W4 : 0
    8ByeBarcelona W
    9Extremadura WAlhama W1 : 2
    10ByeAtl. Madrid W
    11CE Europa WDUX Logrono W2 : 1
    12ByeAthletic Bilbao W
    13Huelva WMadrid C. W1 : 7
    14ByeEibar W
    15Real Oviedo WSevilla FC W2 : 3
    16ByeCosta Adeje Tenerife W

    1/8-finals
    1Dep. La Coruna WReal Sociedad W1 : 4
    2Badalona WGranada CF W1 : 0
    3Espanyol WReal Madrid W0 : 4
    4Alaves WBarcelona W1 : 6
    5Alhama WAtl. Madrid W1 : 2
    6CE Europa WAthletic Bilbao W0 : 3
    7Madrid C. WEibar W3 : 2
    8Sevilla FC WCosta Adeje Tenerife W1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Real Sociedad WBadalona W0 : 1
    2Real Madrid WBarcelona W0 : 4
    3Atl. Madrid WAthletic Bilbao W4 : 1
    4Madrid C. WCosta Adeje Tenerife W0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Badalona WBarcelona W
    2Atl. Madrid WCosta Adeje Tenerife W

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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