Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 6
- Referee: Cebollada P. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (384/485) | 76% (290/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (384/485) | 76% (290/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (95/136) | 50% (41/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Banos L. 🟨,
- 43', Ortega S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Sarriegi A. ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
- 62', Bartel J. ↓, Boe Risa V. ↑,
- 63', Azkona A. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
- 63', Banos L. ↓, Agote D. ↑,
- 66', Luany 🟨,
- 69', Agote D. 🟨,
- 75', Campos A. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
- 75', Jensen S. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
- 83', Ortega S. ↓, Zugasti P. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Lauren Leal ⚽, Gio Garbelini (A),
- 88', 1 - 1, Amezaga J. ⚽, Agote D. (A),
- 90+4', Nanclares A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Valero M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid
68.3% | Draw
19.4% | Athletic Bilbao
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.6) |
4.75 ↑
(3.7) |
7.46 ↑
(4.9) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3.
- Atlético Madrid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Atlético Madrid is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Atlético Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:17. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Athletic Bilbao?
Atlético Madrid has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Atlético Madrid?
Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
04.05.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
05.10.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Atlético Madrid
0:2
06.08.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Atlético Madrid
0:0
14.04.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Atlético Madrid
1:0
16.09.2023
Atlético Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
