Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
22.5%
Draw
26.8%
Atlético Madrid
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 26.8% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 25.9% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (3.96)
    3.37
    (3.37)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    10.8%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0.
    • Recent performances by Athletic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Madrid is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Atlético Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Madrid is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 4:1
    04.10.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    04.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    05.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    06.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid