Result
13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 4
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 | M+ LaLiga |
Africa | Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
China | iQIYI, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao 59.1% | Draw 25.7% | Deportivo Alavés 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.58) |
3.72 ↓ (3.97) |
6.3 ↓ (6.43) |
4.8% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 31 - 91.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 81.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y.
(Doping)
Egiluz U.
(Knee Injury)
Laporte A.
(Coach's decision)
Lekue I.
(Muscle Injury)
Padilla A.
(Red Card)
Prados Diaz B.
(Knee Injury)
Williams N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Alavés: Protesoni C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Deportivo Alavés?
Athletic Bilbao has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Athletic Bilbao?
Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
22.07.2025
Deportivo Alavés
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
11.05.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:0
15.12.2024
Deportivo Alavés
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:1
16.03.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Deportivo Alavés
2:0
16.01.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Deportivo Alavés
2:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Ath Bilbao | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
3 | Getafe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Villarreal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 7 |
5 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
6 | Espanyol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Elche | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
8 | Betis | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Valencia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Sevilla | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Alaves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
13 | Osasuna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | R. Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
16 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
17 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Mallorca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
19 | Levante | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2