Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés
13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 4
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
M+ LaLiga
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Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
59.1%
Draw
25.7%
Deportivo Alavés
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 24.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 23.7% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.58)
    3.72
    (3.97)
    6.3
    (6.43)
    4.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 31 - 91.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 81.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Laporte A. (Coach's decision) Lekue I. (Muscle Injury) Padilla A. (Red Card) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Alavés: Protesoni C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    15.12.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    16.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 2:0
    16.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 2:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid44008:2612
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Getafe43016:429
    4Villarreal32108:177
    5Barcelona32107:347
    6Espanyol32105:327
    7Elche41306:426
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Sevilla41127:704
    12Alaves31113:304
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo41031:7-63
    16Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    17Real Sociedad40224:6-22
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2