Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga F Women - Round 21
  • Referee: Espinosa A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, ETB 2, Gol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.131.52
Ball possession
29%71%
Total shots
312
Shots on target
02
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
35
Passes
52% (114/220)78% (421/537)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.131.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.59
Total shots
312
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
27
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
86
Passes
52% (114/220)78% (421/537)
Long passes
33% (26/80)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
34% (23/68)71% (122/173)
Crosses
17% (1/6)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.121.38
Throw ins
3032
Fouls
68
Tackles
82% (9/11)100% (13/13)
Duels won
3131
Clearances
2611
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.590.00
Goals prevented
-0.410.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Zubieta M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Campos A. , Azkona A. ,
  • 58', Vilarino M. , Agote D. ,
  • 71', Nevado N. , Amezaga J. ,
  • 77', Lacosta I. , Moreno E. ,
  • 82', Zubieta M. , Oguiza I. ,
  • 82', Pinedo C. , Gurtubay E. ,
  • 87', Belem A. 🟨,
  • 90', Altonaga A. , Valej E. ,
  • 90', Alvarez C. , Clement Tukumbuke O. ,
  • 90+8', 0 - 1, Agote D. , Valero M. (A),

Chances of winning


Eibar
26.9%
Draw
30.6%
Athletic Bilbao
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 28.7% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 24.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Eibar - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (4.35)
    2.97
    (3.15)
    2.14
    (1.79)
    10.1%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Athletic Bilbao?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Eibar (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.
    • Eibar is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Eibar 2:0
    16.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Eibar 2:2
    02.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Eibar 0:1
    13.10.2024 Eibar - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    03.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Eibar 1:0
    Latest results of Eibar
    14.02.2026 Barcelona - Eibar 4:0
    07.02.2026 Eibar - Granada 0:2
    01.02.2026 Badalona - Eibar 2:1
    25.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Eibar 3:0
    17.01.2026 Eibar - Madrid CFF 1:3
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao