Athletic Bilbao vs Madrid CFF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga F Women - Round 22
  • Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, RTVE Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.710.12
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
82
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (297/377)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.710.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.14
Total shots
164
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
40
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
813
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (297/377)
Long passes
47% (15/32)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)62% (50/81)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.30
Throw ins
1529
Fouls
138
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
2529
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.143.36
Goals prevented
-0.86-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Ortega S. ,
  • 45', Torre Larranaga M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Agote D. , Amezaga J. ,
  • 46', Torre Larranaga M. , Oguiza I. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Amezaga J. ,
  • 51', Rivas M. , Sanchez N. ,
  • 56', Melgard K. 🟨,
  • 59', Nautnes E. 🟥,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Banos L. , Landaluze N. (A),
  • 69', Pinedo C. , Nevado N. ,
  • 70', Monica , Anita ,
  • 71', Sosa A. , Olofsson F. ,
  • 72', Melgard K. , Lopez B. ,
  • 73', 4 - 1, Azkona A. , Elexpuru A. (A),
  • 77', Ortega S. , Gurtubay E. ,
  • 81', Anita 🟨,
  • 85', Elexpuru A. , Vilarino M. ,
  • 90', Amezaga J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
47.3%
Draw
25.9%
Madrid CFF
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 26.5% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.7% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Madrid CFF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.13)
    3.51
    (3.51)
    3.4
    (3.1)
    9.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Madrid CFF were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao 0:2
    19.04.2025 Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    23.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Madrid CFF 1:0
    20.04.2024 Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    14.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Madrid CFF 1:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Madrid CFF
    21.02.2026 Madrid CFF - Alhama 5:0
    04.02.2026 Madrid CFF - Tenerife 0:1
    31.01.2026 Levante - Madrid CFF 0:1