Result
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 8
- Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Orange TV Go |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao 59.2% | Draw 25.5% | Mallorca 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.5) |
3.77 ↓ (4.08) |
6.35 ↓ (6.87) |
3.9% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 38.7% – 76.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mallorca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y.
(Doping)
Egiluz U.
(Knee Injury)
Prados Diaz B.
(Knee Injury)
Sancet O.
(Injury)
Vesga M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mascarell O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez D.
(Suspended)
Virgili J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A.
(Toe Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Mallorca?
Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Athletic Bilbao?
Mallorca has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:
09.03.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
1:1
28.10.2024
Mallorca
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
06.04.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
2:1
02.02.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Mallorca
4:0
03.09.2023
Mallorca
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:5 | 16 | 19 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Espanyol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 8 |
13 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
14 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
15 | R. Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 6 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2