Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca).

LaLiga - Round 20
Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.54	2.13
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
18	21
Shots on target
9	11
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
3	7
Passes
79% (373/473)	78% (337/434)
Yellow cards
1	8
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.54	2.13
xG on target (xGOT)
3.64	3.83
Total shots
18	21
Shots on target
9	11
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
13	16
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
18	28
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
10	10
Passes
79% (373/473)	78% (337/434)
Long passes
42% (31/74)	38% (26/69)
Passes in final third
49% (38/78)	69% (118/170)
Crosses
67% (4/6)	31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	1.73
Throw ins
16	22
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
58% (11/19)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
61	45
Clearances
37	14
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
9	6
xGOT faced
3.83	3.64
Goals prevented
1.83	0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Darder S. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Gomez U. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
18', Kumbulla M. 🟨,
40', Vivian D. 🟨,
42', Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 2 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Williams N. ⚽, Gomez U. (A),
45+5', Areso J. 🟨,
45+6', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
45+7', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
59', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
71', Gomez U. 🟥,
72', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
72', Boiro A. 🟨,
72', Lekue I. 🟨,
73', Joseph M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
73', Sancet O. 🟨,
76', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
76', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Izeta ↑,
83', Lato T. ↓, Mojica J. ↑,
83', Virgili J. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
90+3', Darder S. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Mallorca
25.3%

Draw
30.8%

Athletic Bilbao
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

31.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	2.17 ↓ (2.19)	5.2% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 16 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 28.2% – 60.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Mallorca (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Mallorca (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
Athletic could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Mallorca: Maffeo P. (Yellow Cards) Morlanes M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Serrano N. (Muscle Injury) Vesga M. (Back Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Athletic Bilbao?

Mallorca has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Mallorca?

Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

04.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1

28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1

02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0

Latest results of Mallorca

11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Mallorca - Girona 1:2 ✺

19.12.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

16.12.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺

07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

22.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 1:2 ✺

18.12.2025 Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71:26	45	64
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54:22	32	60
3	Atl. Madrid	26	15	6	5	43:23	20	51
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36:28	8	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	8	9	38:38	0	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	10	5	11	30:36	-6	35
10	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	30:30	0	33
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
13	Girona	26	7	9	10	27:42	-15	30
14	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23:32	-9	27
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	26	6	6	14	29:42	-13	24
19	Levante	26	5	6	15	28:44	-16	21
20	Oviedo	25	3	8	14	16:40	-24	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2