Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

LaLiga - Round 8
Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.32
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
86% (381/443)	83% (343/413)
Yellow Cards
5	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.38	0.17
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
10	2
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
26	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
13	16
Passes
86% (381/443)	83% (343/413)
Long passes
70% (37/53)	52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
78% (120/153)	66% (43/65)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.39
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
44% (4/9)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
42	56
Clearances
21	40
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.17	2.38
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Williams I. (Pen),
36', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
45+2', Darder S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Laporte A. 🟨,
53', Williams I. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
62', Serrano N. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
66', Torre P. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
66', Domenech M. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
68', Arrasate J. 🟨,
75', Muriqi V. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Samu Costa ⚽, Joseph M. (A),
82', Navarro R. ↓, Izeta ↑,
82', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Rego A. ⚽, Areso J. (A),
83', Morlanes M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
88', Mojica J. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
88', Maffeo P. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
89', Raillo A. 🟨,
90', Areso J. 🟨,
90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90+3', Vivian D. 🟨,
90+5', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
90+5', Roman L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
59.2%

Draw
25.5%

Mallorca
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	3.77 ↓ (4.08)	6.3 ↓ (6.87)	4.1% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 44.2% – 78.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mallorca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Injury) Vesga M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)
There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A. (Toe Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Mallorca?

Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Athletic Bilbao?

Mallorca has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1

28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1

02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0

03.09.2023 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

01.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Mallorca

27.09.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	9	8	0	1	20:9	11	24
2	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	24:10	14	22
3	Espanyol	10	5	3	2	14:11	3	18
4	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	16:10	6	17
5	Atl. Madrid	9	4	4	1	16:10	6	16
6	Betis	9	4	4	1	15:10	5	16
7	Elche	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14
8	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	9:10	-1	14
9	Getafe	10	4	2	4	10:12	-2	14
10	Sevilla	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13
11	Alaves	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
12	Rayo Vallecano	9	3	2	4	11:10	1	11
13	Osasuna	9	3	1	5	7:9	-2	10
14	Real Sociedad	10	2	3	5	10:14	-4	9
15	Valencia	9	2	3	4	10:14	-4	9
16	Levante	9	2	2	5	13:17	-4	8
17	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	10:14	-4	8
18	Celta Vigo	9	0	7	2	8:11	-3	7
19	R. Oviedo	10	2	1	7	7:19	-12	7
20	Girona	10	1	4	5	9:22	-13	7

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2