Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.32
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
86% (381/443)83% (343/413)
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.380.17
Total shots
187
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
267
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
86% (381/443)83% (343/413)
Long passes
70% (37/53)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
78% (120/153)66% (43/65)
Crosses
17% (5/29)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.39
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1613
Tackles
44% (4/9)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
2140
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.172.38
Goals prevented
-0.830.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Williams I. (Pen),
  • 36', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Darder S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Laporte A. 🟨,
  • 53', Williams I. , Williams N. ,
  • 62', Serrano N. , Rego A. ,
  • 62', Guruzeta G. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 66', Torre P. , Joseph M. ,
  • 66', Domenech M. , Llabres J. ,
  • 68', Arrasate J. 🟨,
  • 75', Muriqi V. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Samu Costa , Joseph M. (A),
  • 82', Navarro R. , Izeta ,
  • 82', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Lekue I. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Rego A. , Areso J. (A),
  • 83', Morlanes M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 88', Mojica J. , Morey Bauza M. ,
  • 88', Maffeo P. , Lato T. ,
  • 89', Raillo A. 🟨,
  • 90', Areso J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Roman L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
59.2%
Draw
25.5%
Mallorca
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 23.2% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 22.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.5)
    3.77
    (4.08)
    6.3
    (6.87)
    4.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 44.2%78.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
    • Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mallorca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Injury) Vesga M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1
    28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0
    03.09.2023 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Mallorca
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid980120:91124
    2Barcelona971124:101422
    3Espanyol1053214:11318
    4Villarreal952216:10617
    5Atl. Madrid944116:10616
    6Betis944115:10516
    7Elche1035211:10114
    8Ath Bilbao104249:10-114
    9Getafe1042410:12-214
    10Sevilla1041517:16113
    11Alaves93339:8112
    12Rayo Vallecano932411:10111
    13Osasuna93157:9-210
    14Real Sociedad1023510:14-49
    15Valencia923410:14-49
    16Levante922513:17-48
    17Mallorca922510:14-48
    18Celta Vigo90728:11-37
    19R. Oviedo102177:19-127
    20Girona101459:22-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2