Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 20
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.542.13
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
911
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
37
Passes
79% (373/473)78% (337/434)
Yellow cards
18
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.542.13
xG on target (xGOT)
3.643.83
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
911
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
1316
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1828
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1010
Passes
79% (373/473)78% (337/434)
Long passes
42% (31/74)38% (26/69)
Passes in final third
49% (38/78)69% (118/170)
Crosses
67% (4/6)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.73
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (11/19)45% (5/11)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
3714
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
96
xGOT faced
3.833.64
Goals prevented
1.830.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. , Darder S. (A),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. (A),
  • 18', Kumbulla M. 🟨,
  • 40', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 42', Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Muriqi V. ,
  • 45', 2 - 2, Williams N. , Gomez U. (A),
  • 45+5', Areso J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Berenguer A. , Williams I. ,
  • 59', Gomez U. , Sancet O. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
  • 71', Gomez U. 🟥,
  • 72', Williams N. , Navarro R. ,
  • 72', Boiro A. 🟨,
  • 72', Lekue I. 🟨,
  • 73', Joseph M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 73', Sancet O. 🟨,
  • 76', Areso J. , Gorosabel A. ,
  • 76', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Izeta ,
  • 83', Lato T. , Mojica J. ,
  • 83', Virgili J. , Torre P. ,
  • 90+3', Darder S. , Llabres J. ,

Chances of winning


Mallorca
25.3%
Draw
30.8%
Athletic Bilbao
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 30.9% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 31.2% 43%

Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.74
(3.7)
3.1
(3.08)
2.17
(2.19)
5.2%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 16 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 28.2%60.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Mallorca (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Mallorca (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Mallorca (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
    • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • Athletic could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Maffeo P. (Yellow Cards) Morlanes M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Serrano N. (Muscle Injury) Vesga M. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1
    28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0
    Latest results of Mallorca
    11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1
    04.01.2026 Mallorca - Girona 1:2
    19.12.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1
    13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona20161354:223249
    2Real Madrid20153243:172648
    3Villarreal19132437:191841
    4Atl. Madrid20125335:171841
    5Espanyol20104623:22134
    6Betis2088433:25832
    7Celta Vigo2088428:20832
    8Elche2059627:26124
    9Real Sociedad2066826:28-224
    10Ath Bilbao20731019:28-924
    11Girona2066820:34-1424
    12Osasuna20641021:24-322
    13Rayo Vallecano2057816:25-922
    14Sevilla20631126:32-621
    15Mallorca2056924:30-621
    16Getafe20631115:26-1121
    17Valencia2048819:31-1220
    18Alaves20541116:25-919
    19Levante19351121:32-1114
    20Oviedo20271111:31-2013

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2