Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

: LaLiga - Round 29
Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	0.37
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
86% (460/534)	75% (247/331)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	0.24
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
86% (460/534)	75% (247/331)
Long passes
65% (41/63)	51% (35/68)
Passes in final third
75% (133/177)	54% (51/94)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.46
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
65% (15/23)	52% (16/31)
Duels won
55	67
Clearances Total
26	26
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.24	0.96
Goals prevented
0.24	0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Nunez U. 🟨,
45', Catena A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Prados Diaz B. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
58', de Marcos O. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
69', Sannadi M. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
69', Garcia R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
75', Areso J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
75', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
82', Nunez U. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
82', Berenguer A. ↓, Canales P. ↑,
89', Oroz A. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
89', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
63.8%

Draw
22.7%

Osasuna
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

22.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.25 ↑ (4.13)	7.08 ↑ (6.42)	4.3% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 71.1% – 95.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 3.
Recent matches Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Osasuna is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Osasuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Athletic is indisputable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletic won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Osasuna?

Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Athletic Bilbao?

Osasuna has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna were as follows:

16.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 2:3

21.12.2024 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:2

03.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 2:1

11.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 2:2

19.08.2023 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 0:2

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid 7:1 ✺

Latest results of Osasuna

27.03.2025 Barcelona - Osasuna 3:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 3:3 ✺

21.02.2025 Celta de Vigo - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

10.02.2025 Mallorca - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DSports 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+