Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.33	0.54
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
66% (205/310)	66% (196/298)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.33	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.56	0.10
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
9	4
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
16	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
17	8
Passes
66% (205/310)	66% (196/298)
Long passes
27% (23/85)	31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
44% (44/100)	52% (66/127)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.64
Throw ins
19	28
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
52% (12/23)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
62	53
Clearances
44	26
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.10	2.56
Goals prevented
-0.90	1.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, de Frutos J. ⚽,
39', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
40', Palazon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez U. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Williams I. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
59', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
61', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
61', Garcia A. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
61', Mendy N. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
65', Sancet O. 🟨,
69', Palazon I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
71', Laporte A. 🟨,
73', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
85', Akhomach I. 🟨,
86', Akhomach I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
86', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
86', Sancet O. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
38.2%

Draw
30.8%

Athletic Bilbao
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.05 ↑ (2.93)	5.1% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Athletic will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 24.5% – 63.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Athletic (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Athletic (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
Rayo Vallecano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Athletic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Cardenas D. (Muscle Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Athletic Bilbao?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Rayo Vallecano?

Athletic Bilbao has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

25.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1

01.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:2

25.05.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:1

02.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 4:0

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

21.02.2026 Betis - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 3:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺

18.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

20.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Elche 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 0:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Levante 4:2 ✺

04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71:26	45	64
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54:22	32	60
3	Atl. Madrid	26	15	6	5	43:23	20	51
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36:28	8	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	8	9	38:38	0	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	10	5	11	30:36	-6	35
10	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	30:30	0	33
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
13	Girona	26	7	9	10	27:42	-15	30
14	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23:32	-9	27
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	26	6	6	14	29:42	-13	24
19	Levante	26	5	6	15	28:44	-16	21
20	Oviedo	25	3	8	14	16:40	-24	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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      Relegation ~ LaLiga2