Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano
Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 31
  • Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.56
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (343/428)77% (285/371)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.07
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2418
Through passes
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
712
Passes
80% (343/428)77% (285/371)
Long passes
47% (26/55)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)64% (52/81)
Crosses
21% (5/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.55
Fouls
127
Tackles
79% (15/19)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5656
Clearances Total
925
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.072.15
Goals prevented
0.07-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Djalo A. 🟨,
  • 36', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 37', Diaz P. (Pen),
  • 37', 0 - 1, Ciss P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Guruzeta G. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 46', Gomez U. , Sancet O. ,
  • 50', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 57', Pacha 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Sancet O. (Pen),
  • 59', Djalo A. , Williams I. ,
  • 59', Prados Diaz B. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. ,
  • 63', Diaz P. , Valentin O. ,
  • 63', Gumbau G. , Lopez U. ,
  • 70', de Frutos J. , Embarba A. ,
  • 73', Berenguer A. , Williams N. ,
  • 75', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Williams N. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. (A),
  • 84', Boiro A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ciss P. , de Tomas R. ,
  • 85', Pacha , Palazon I. ,
  • 87', Williams I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Sancet O. , Sannadi M. (A),

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
52.3%
Draw
29.1%
Rayo Vallecano
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 24.7% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 24.3% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.58)
    3.3
    (3.91)
    5.16
    (6.76)
    4.2%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 48 - 77.4%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 67%87.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4.
    • Athletic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Athletic is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Berchiche Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Athletic won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:15 (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    25.05.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    02.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 4:0
    05.03.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    17.09.2022 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:2
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2