Result
25/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
56.5% | Draw
26.3% | Rayo Vallecano
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.69) |
3.73 ↑
(3.53) |
5.58 ↑
(5.38) |
2.9%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 63% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 4.
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rayo Vallecano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Rayo Vallecano?
Athletic Bilbao has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Athletic Bilbao?
Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
13.04.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
01.12.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:2
25.05.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:1
02.12.2023
Athletic Bilbao
-
Rayo Vallecano
4:0
05.03.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Getafe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Ath Bilbao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Levante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Girona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | R. Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
