Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5, Okko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.30
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (254/333)84% (415/497)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.16
Total shots
116
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3113
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
76% (254/333)84% (415/497)
Long passes
49% (21/43)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)56% (49/87)
Crosses
25% (4/16)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.22
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1313
Tackles
71% (10/14)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.161.40
Goals prevented
0.160.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 23', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sannadi M. , Sancet O. ,
  • 55', Lopez U. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 55', Diaz P. , Perez F. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Sancet O. (Pen),
  • 67', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 69', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 79', Chavarria P. 🟨,
  • 79', Palazon I. , Camello S. ,
  • 79', de Frutos J. , Nteka R. ,
  • 79', Williams I. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 82', Chavarria P. , Trejo O. ,
  • 87', Berenguer A. , Vesga M. ,
  • 88', Williams N. , Gomez U. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
54.5%
Draw
27.2%
Rayo Vallecano
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 26.7% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.2% 19.3%

Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.76
(1.69)
3.5
(3.53)
5.14
(5.38)
4.9%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (67 of 83 users predict this - 80.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.23%89.21%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 4.
    • Recent form of Athletic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Gomez U. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Valentin O. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    01.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    25.05.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    02.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 4:0
    05.03.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona16131247:202740
    2Real Madrid15113132:131936
    3Villarreal15112231:131835
    4Atl. Madrid1694328:151331
    5Espanyol1583419:16327
    6Betis1566325:19624
    7Ath Bilbao1672715:20-523
    8Getafe1562713:17-420
    9Elche1547418:17119
    10Alaves1553713:15-218
    11Rayo Vallecano1545613:16-317
    12Sevilla1552820:24-417
    13Real Sociedad1544719:22-316
    14Celta Vigo1437416:19-316
    15Valencia1536614:23-915
    16Mallorca1535715:22-714
    17Osasuna1433812:18-612
    18Girona1526713:29-1612
    19Oviedo152497:22-1510
    20Levante1423916:26-109

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2