Result
1:4
12/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 7
- Referee: Acevedo A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/410) | 83% (390/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/410) | 83% (390/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (62/87) | 63% (76/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.35 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Feller N. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Weir C. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
- 19', 0 - 2, Campos A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Banos L. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
- 46', Campos A. ↓, Agote D. ↑,
- 62', Redondo A. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
- 62', Feller N. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
- 67', Valero M. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
- 71', Holmgaard S. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Nevado N. ⚽,
- 76', Holmgaard S. ↓, Yasmim ↑,
- 76', Dabritz S. ↓, Keukelaar L. ↑,
- 76', Azkona A. ↓, Zugasti P. ↑,
- 81', Galvez Luna R. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 3, Weir C. ⚽, del Castillo A. (A),
- 85', Toletti S. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
- 85', Torre Larranaga M. ↓, Landaluze N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 4, Santiago I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
13.8% | Draw
20.3% | Real Madrid
65.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.73 ↑
(4.36) |
4.6 ↑
(3.88) |
1.41 ↓
(1.64) |
7.3%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0.
- Athletic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Madrid is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Real Madrid is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Real Madrid?
Athletic Bilbao has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Athletic Bilbao?
Real Madrid has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid were as follows:
02.03.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Madrid
1:2
22.09.2024
Real Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
2:0
09.06.2024
Real Madrid
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
27.01.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Madrid
0:1
24.05.2023
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Madrid
0:4
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Real Madrid
