Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
Result
1:0
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 32
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
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argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
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bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN 2, TSN+
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chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
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europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
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laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
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tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
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uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.19
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
141
Passes
91% (602/660)70% (167/238)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.02
Total shots
223
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
141
Touches in opposition box
397
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
157
Passes
91% (602/660)70% (167/238)
Long passes
71% (34/48)29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
85% (188/222)52% (38/73)
Crosses
21% (6/29)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.19
Fouls
715
Tackles
80% (12/15)86% (19/22)
Duels won
5343
Clearances Total
1538
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.021.29
Goals prevented
0.020.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ceballos D. , Endrick ,
  • 62', Berenguer A. , Sancet O. ,
  • 62', Djalo A. , Williams I. ,
  • 62', Guruzeta G. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 63', Nunez U. 🟨,
  • 72', Gomez U. , Lekue I. ,
  • 75', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 78', Modric L. , Guler A. ,
  • 78', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Asencio R. , Lucas ,
  • 86', Prados Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 87', Boiro A. , Vivian D. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Valverde F. ,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
64.7%
Draw
21.6%
Athletic Bilbao
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 23.8% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.65)
    4.47
    (4.16)
    6.93
    (5.06)
    3.5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (54 of 66 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.52%91.12%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
    • Real is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Athletic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mbappe K. (Red Card) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Williams N. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Berchiche Y. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Real won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:12 (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 2:1
    31.03.2024 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 2:0
    12.08.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:2
    04.06.2023 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    22.01.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2