Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

: LaLiga - Round 30
Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.74
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
84% (417/498)	83% (310/374)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.14
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
84% (417/498)	83% (310/374)
Long passes
54% (29/54)	52% (35/67)
Passes in final third
63% (86/136)	76% (89/117)
Crosses
36% (9/25)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	1.02
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
76% (16/21)	80% (16/20)
Duels won
59	46
Clearances Total
18	18
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.14	0.66
Goals prevented
0.14	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
35', Berchiche Y. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Perez A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
57', Buchanan T. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
63', Parejo D. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
63', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
64', Williams N. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
73', Paredes A. ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
74', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
77', Cardona S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
78', Costa L. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
83', Gueye P. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
39.7%

Draw
28.8%

Athletic Bilbao
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1%)

Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.31 ↓ (3.64)	3.04 ↓ (3.29)	5% (3.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Athletic will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.4% – 51.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 1 - 25%). Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Villarreal (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Villarreal will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Pepe N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Albiol R. (Injury) Perez A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Ruiz de Galarreta I. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Thigh Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Athletic Bilbao?

Villarreal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Villarreal?

Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

08.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 2:0

14.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:1

05.11.2023 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 2:3

13.05.2023 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 5:1

30.10.2022 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:0

Latest results of Villarreal

30.03.2025 Getafe - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Villarreal - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

30.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+