Result
12/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
41.5% | Draw
27% | Villarreal
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.34) |
3.55 ↑
(3.53) |
3.01 ↑
(2.86) |
4.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Villarreal will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villarreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Villarreal?
Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Athletic Bilbao?
Villarreal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal were as follows:
27.09.2025
Villarreal
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
06.04.2025
Villarreal
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
08.12.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Villarreal
2:0
14.04.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Villarreal
1:1
05.11.2023
Villarreal
-
Athletic Bilbao
2:3
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Villarreal
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 80:29 | 51 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 64:28 | 36 | 69 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Betis | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:45 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Getafe | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 27:31 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 | Ath Bilbao | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alaves | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:50 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Elche | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 | Levante | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
