Atlético Mineiro vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mineiro - Round 7
  • Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.971.06
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
43
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
101
Passes
88% (512/583)77% (213/276)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
1.971.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.02
Total shots
179
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
60
Shots inside the box
62
Shots outside the box
117
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
2210
Passes
88% (512/583)77% (213/276)
Long passes
55% (27/49)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
76% (138/181)64% (36/56)
Crosses
19% (4/21)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.22
Throw ins
1420
Fouls
1022
Tackles
43% (6/14)42% (8/19)
Duels won
5446
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.021.50
Goals prevented
0.020.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Lodi R. , Everson (A),
  • 7', Zeca 🟨,
  • 28', Enzo , Vera D. ,
  • 45+7', Ruan Assis 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gustavo Scarpa , Dudu ,
  • 46', Igor Gomes , Bernard ,
  • 51', Douglas Pele , Leandro Alves ,
  • 55', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', Reinier , Victor Hugo ,
  • 63', Cisse M. , Hulk ,
  • 72', Glauco 🟨,
  • 72', Ruan Assis , Luiz Filipe ,
  • 73', David Braga , Kauan Lindes ,
  • 73', Ian Luccas , Copete D. ,
  • 89', Natanael , Cassierra M. ,
  • 90', Copete D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cuello 🟨,
  • 90+3', Leandro Alves 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
67.4%
Draw
20.3%
Athletic Club
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 22.3% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 21.5% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.41)
    4.54
    (4.13)
    7.47
    (7.34)
    8.6%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club 1:0
    08.02.2024 Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro 0:2
    18.03.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club 1:0
    12.03.2023 Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    25.01.2026 Athletic Club - Betim 1:1
    14.01.2026 Athletic Club - URT 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pouso AlegreCruzeiro0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atletico-MGAmerica MG1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG