Result
4:0
14/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/499) | 84% (355/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/499) | 84% (355/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (100/130) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -2.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Max ⚽, David Braga (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, David Braga ⚽, Tavares R. (A),
- 30', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 46', Thayllon ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 46', Mario Sergio ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 53', Railan 🟥,
- 54', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 0, Tavares R. ⚽,
- 60', Tavares R. 🟨,
- 65', Cleber ↓, DG ↑,
- 70', Welinton Torrao ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 70', David Braga ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 78', Tavares R. ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 79', Max ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 84', 4 - 0, Neto Costa ⚽, Ezequiel (A),
- 85', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 86', Sandry ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 90+1', Alef Manga 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
41% | Draw
31.5% | Avaí
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Athletic Club - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.5) |
3 ↑
(2.98) |
3.33 ↑
(3.04) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Renan
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Avaí?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Athletic Club?
Avaí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Avaí were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
