Athletic Club vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil Athletic Club - Grêmio
Result
3:4 penalties
12/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, David Braga ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Braithwaite M. ,
  • 16', Braithwaite M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 20', 1 - 2, Joao Lucas ,
  • 38', Luan Candido 🟨,
  • 45', Luan Candido 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sandry , Amorim ,
  • 46', Cristaldo F. , Viery ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Diego Fumaca ,
  • 58', Amorim 🟨,
  • 62', Welinton Torrao , Mateus Goncalves ,
  • 66', Pavon C. , Olivera C. ,
  • 66', Villasanti M. , Dodi ,
  • 71', Camilo 🟨,
  • 73', Lincoln , Neto Costa ,
  • 74', Edson Miranda 🟨,
  • 82', Alason Carioca , Wallisson ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Arezo M. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Amuzu F. , Gustavo Martins ,
  • 90+3', Yuri 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Joao Lucas (Own goal),
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Wagner Leonardo (Pen),
  • 1, David Braga (Pen),
  • 2, Jemerson (Pen),
  • 2, Diego Fumaca (Pen),
  • 3, Arezo M. (Pen),
  • 3, Yuri (Pen),
  • 4, Olivera C. (Pen),
  • 4, Wesley Gasolina (Pen),
  • 5, Dodi (Pen),
  • 5, Mateus Goncalves (Pen),
  • 6, Camilo (Pen),
  • 6, Neto Costa (Pen),
  • 7, Gustavo Martins (Pen),
  • 7, Amorim (Pen),
  • 8, Joao Lucas (Pen),
  • 8, Edson Miranda (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
20.4%
Draw
28%
Grêmio
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 27.3% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 27% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Athletic Club have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Athletic Club - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (4.57)
    3.32
    (3.42)
    1.82
    (1.78)
    7.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Athletic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Grêmio is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Latest results of Grêmio
    08.03.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 0:2
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    22.02.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 2:1
    19.02.2025 São Raimundo PR - Grêmio 1:2
    15.02.2025 Ypiranga - Grêmio 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2