Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 1
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (276/336) | 83% (358/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (276/336) | 83% (358/433) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (22/53) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 69% (79/115) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (3/12) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
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| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 21 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 60% (6/10) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Ian Luccas ⚽,
- 30', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Bryan Borges ⚽, Brandao (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Jota ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
- 58', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Elvis ↑,
- 59', Kevyson ↓, Diego Porfirio ↑,
- 62', Bruninho ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
- 63', Ian Luccas ↓, Kauan Rodrigues ↑,
- 71', Tarik ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
- 78', Cabezas G. ↓, Joao Miguel ↑,
- 84', Ruan Assis ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 84', Jota ↓, Gabriel Indio ↑,
- 84', Willian Pottker ↓, Baianinho ↑,
- 84', Murilo ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 89', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
- 90+2', Luis Phelipe 🟨,
- 90+9', Tavares R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
45.2% | Draw
29.8% | Ponte Preta
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-5%)
Athletic Club - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.81) |
3.12 ↓
(3.23) |
3.7 ↓
(4.39) |
7.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Ponte Preta (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Athletic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ponte Preta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Douglas Pele
(Injury)
Enzo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
- We predict that Athletic will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Ponte Preta?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Athletic Club?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Ponte Preta were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
