Athletic Club vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Athletic Club - São Bernardo
Result
1:4
29/06/2024 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Referee: Costa D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
129
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
104
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
14
Attacks
11784
Dangerous Attacks
8359

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Luiz Filipe ,
  • 33', Yuri 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Davi Gabriel ,
  • 38', 0 - 3, Luiz Filipe ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nathan , Denilson ,
  • 47', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
  • 50', 0 - 4, Silvinho ,
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 55', Luiz Filipe , Wesley Dias ,
  • 61', Silvinho , Maycon Douglas ,
  • 61', Lucas Tocantins , Joao Carlos ,
  • 63', 1 - 4, Neto Costa ,
  • 64', Helder Maciel 🟨,
  • 66', Diego Fumaca , Alason Carioca ,
  • 72', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
  • 77', Maycon Douglas , Rodrigo Souza ,
  • 77', Davi Gabriel , Arthur Henrique ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
51.8%
Draw
27.2%
São Bernardo
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 27.2% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24.8% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Athletic Club - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.66)
    3.34
    (3.21)
    4.32
    (4.36)
    10%
    (14.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Recent matches Athletic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • São Bernardo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently São Bernardo have a series of home games.
    • In this match Athletic is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Bernardo20202:202
    2SER Caxias20200:002
    3Londrina10102:201
    4Floresta EC10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani21012:113
    2Ponte Preta11001:013
    3Nautico21011:2-13
    4Brusque10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet