Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | IT tv Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/322) | 82% (297/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/322) | 82% (297/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (83/124) | 73% (69/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Felipe Vieira ⚽, Tavares R. (A),
- 22', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
- 25', Pedro Oliveira 🟨,
- 39', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 42', Vera D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vera D. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 57', Ruan Assis 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira ⚽,
- 68', Ruan Assis ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
- 68', Felipe Vieira ↓, da Silva Sinfronio G. ↑,
- 74', PH ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 74', Ian Luccas ↓, Caick ↑,
- 74', Rafinha ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 82', Copete D. 🟨,
- 87', Dyego 🟥,
- 89', Zeca ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
- 89', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Rony Fernandes ↑,
- 89', Auro ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 90+3', Caick 🟨,
- 90+6', Jefferson Renan ↓, Felipinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
45.9% | Draw
28.3% | Tombense
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1%)
Athletic Club - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.16) |
3.25 ↑
(3) |
3.57 ↑
(3.44) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Tombense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
- Athletic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tombense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Athletic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Tombense?
Athletic Club has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Athletic Club?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Tombense were as follows:
01.02.2025
Athletic Club
-
Tombense
3:1
27.07.2024
Tombense
-
Athletic Club
1:1
03.02.2024
Tombense
-
Athletic Club
1:0
21.01.2023
Athletic Club
-
Tombense
3:1
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Tombense
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
