Athletic Palermo vs Ragusa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Micoli N. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Palermo
50.3%
Draw
30%
Ragusa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.3% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.
  • Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ragusa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ragusa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Palermo - Ragusa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.26)
    3.02
    (3.36)
    4.61
    (2.77)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Athletic Palermo - Ragusa?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ragusa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Athletic Palermo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ragusa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Athletic Palermo is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Latest results of Ragusa
    14.12.2025 Ragusa - Acireale 2:0
    07.12.2025 Sancataldese - Ragusa 0:0
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    16.11.2025 Ragusa - Savoia 3:2
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia33199560:293166
    2Nissa331810547:262164
    3Reggina33196840:211963
    4Athletic Palermo ✔ 331761057:461157
    5Gelbison ✔ 33169843:321157
    6Igea Virtus331513548:321653
    7Sambiase331411836:261053
    8Milazzo331281331:35-444
    9Gela331351541:43-243
    10Vigor Lamezia331091439:34539
    11Castrumfavara331071636:45-937
    12Enna338111448:51-335
    13USD Ragusa337131322:32-1034
    14AS Acireale337121437:49-1232
    15Vibonese337111531:47-1632
    16ACR Messina3310131027:33-629
    17Sancataldese33781831:46-1529
    18Paterno ✔ 33472221:68-4719

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Paterno is Relegated to