Result
1:1
24/11/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 647 | 241 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 597 | 170 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Cauly ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 60', Zapelli B. ↓, Christian ↑,
- 60', Pablo ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Nikao ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 69', Gilberto ↓, Biel ↑,
- 71', Nikao ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 72', Mycael 🟨,
- 74', Fernando 🟨,
- 79', Jean Lucas ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 79', Ademir ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 79', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 83', Felipinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 83', Cuello ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Biel ⚽, Everaldo (A),
- 90+6', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
55.6% | Draw
23.9% | Athletico Paranaense
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Bahia - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
3.99 ↑
(3.5) |
4.62 ↑
(4.56) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bahia - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1.
- Bahia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Athletico PR is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Athletico PR have a series of home games.
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Rezende
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani
(Knee Injury)
Pablo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bahia won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Athletico Paranaense?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Bahia?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
10.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Bahia
1:3
12.11.2023
Bahia
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
16.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Bahia
2:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
