Result
3:0
01/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/463) | 87% (364/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/463) | 87% (364/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 41% (14/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (68/95) | 78% (101/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Everaldo ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
- 26', David Duarte 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Everaldo ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 42', Jadson 🟨,
- 45+2', Everaldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Julimar ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 46', Teran C. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
- 46', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
- 60', Caio Alexandre ↓, Erick ↑,
- 66', Jadson ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 68', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 68', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 78', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 85', Olivera C. ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 85', Everaldo ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 90', Benavidez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bahia
51% | Draw
27.1% | Athletico Paranaense
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Bahia - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.89) |
3.48 ↑
(3.35) |
4.3 ↑
(3.94) |
5.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Athletico Paranaense?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bahia (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bahia (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bahia: Everton Ribeiro
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Muscle Injury)
Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Arthur Dias
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Ronaldo Strada
(Injury)
Willian Jose
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Arthur Dias
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Athletico Paranaense?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Bahia?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
24.11.2024
Bahia
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
10.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Bahia
1:3
12.11.2023
Bahia
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
16.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Bahia
2:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
