Athletico Paranaense vs Goiás – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Goiás
Result
0:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 16
  • Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.49
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
83% (498/601)66% (173/264)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.23
Total shots
217
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
110
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
83% (498/601)66% (173/264)
Long passes
57% (37/65)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
68% (109/160)51% (44/87)
Crosses
21% (5/24)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.20
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1015
Tackles
61% (19/31)82% (14/17)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.02
Goals prevented
0.230.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Raul 🟨,
  • 24', Luiz Fernando , Mendoza S. ,
  • 33', Messias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Patrick , Tevis ,
  • 57', Welliton 🟨,
  • 61', Alan Kardec , Viveros K. ,
  • 61', Belezi , Leozinho ,
  • 67', Pedrinho , Wellington Rato ,
  • 75', Welliton , Moraes ,
  • 75', Marcao Silva , Ze Hugo ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Anselmo Ramon ,
  • 88', Esquivel L. , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 90+2', Anselmo Ramon , Barcelo F. ,
  • 90+2', Diego Caito , Luiz Felipe ,
  • 90+6', Luiz Felipe 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
51.7%
Draw
29.4%
Goiás
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 27% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 25.9% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Goiás Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.65)
    3.18
    (3.4)
    4.88
    (5.3)
    7.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Goiás?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive) Renan Viana (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio (Red Card) Jaja (Yellow Cards) Lucas Ribeiro (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Goiás: Arthur Caike (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Goiás were as follows:
    21.08.2023 Goiás - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    15.04.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Goiás 2:0
    02.11.2022 Athletico Paranaense - Goiás 3:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Goiás
    08.07.2025 Goiás - Criciúma 1:1
    29.06.2025 Chapecoense - Goiás 1:2
    23.06.2025 Goiás - Athletic Club 1:2
    14.06.2025 CRB Maceio - Goiás 2:0
    08.06.2025 Goiás - Volta Redonda 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Goias341510939:33655
    4Novorizontino341413737:28955
    5Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    6Criciuma341591044:321254
    7Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    8Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Avai3412121043:36748
    11Atletico GO331212936:33348
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria338141138:44-638
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA345121731:44-1327

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )