Result
0:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (498/601) | 66% (173/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (498/601) | 66% (173/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/160) | 51% (44/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (19/31) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Raul 🟨,
- 24', Luiz Fernando ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
- 33', Messias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Patrick ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 57', Welliton 🟨,
- 61', Alan Kardec ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 61', Belezi ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 67', Pedrinho ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
- 75', Welliton ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 75', Marcao Silva ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Anselmo Ramon ⚽,
- 88', Esquivel L. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 90+2', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
- 90+2', Diego Caito ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 90+6', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
51.7% | Draw
29.4% | Goiás
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Athletico Paranaense - Goiás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.65) |
3.18 ↓
(3.4) |
4.88 ↓
(5.3) |
7.5%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Goiás?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Athletico PR is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
Renan Viana
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio
(Red Card)
Jaja
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Ribeiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Arthur Caike
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Goiás?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Athletico Paranaense?
Goiás has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Goiás were as follows:
21.08.2023
Goiás
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
15.04.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Goiás
2:0
02.11.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Goiás
3:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Goias | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 42:30 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
