Result
0:2
01/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | MEGOGO |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Peru | L1 Play |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru |
Spain | Gol Stadium |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 2.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
15 | 18 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 23 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Total Passes |
---|
498 | 584 |
Completed Passes |
---|
415 | 479 |
Attacks |
---|
141 | 126 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
57 | 48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 31', Christian 🟨,
- 45+1', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 46', Erick ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 48', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Estevao ⚽, Rios R. (A),
- 58', Cuello ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 65', Caio Paulista ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
- 66', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
- 69', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 71', Rios R. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 78', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 78', Estevao ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 81', Christian ↓, Nikao ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense 29.8% | Draw 28.5% | Palmeiras 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↑ (2.63) |
3.32 ↓ (3.4) |
2.28 ↓ (2.55) |
5.5% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Dudu
(Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Palmeiras?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Athletico Paranaense?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras were as follows:
12.05.2024
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:2
04.11.2023
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
02.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
2:2
25.10.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
1:3
06.09.2022
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet