Result
0:2
01/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Peru | L1 Play |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 498 | 584 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 415 | 479 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 141 | 126 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 31', Christian 🟨,
- 45+1', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 46', Erick ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 48', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Estevao ⚽, Rios R. (A),
- 58', Cuello ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 65', Caio Paulista ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
- 66', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
- 69', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 71', Rios R. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 78', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 78', Estevao ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 81', Christian ↓, Nikao ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
29.8% | Draw
28.5% | Palmeiras
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.63) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
2.28 ↓
(2.55) |
5.5%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Dudu
(Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Palmeiras?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Athletico Paranaense?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras were as follows:
12.05.2024
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:2
04.11.2023
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
02.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
2:2
25.10.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
1:3
06.09.2022
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Gremio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:56 | -32 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
