Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras
Result
0:2
01/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileMEGOGO
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
peruPeruL1 Play
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainGol Stadium
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.262.83
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1518
Shots on Goal
910
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
36
Free Kicks
1011
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1423
Goalkeeper Saves
89
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
498584
Completed Passes
415479
Attacks
141126
Dangerous Attacks
5748

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Mauricio , Flaco Lopez (A),
  • 31', Christian 🟨,
  • 45+1', Canobbio A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gonzalo Mastriani , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 46', Erick , Godoy L. ,
  • 48', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Estevao , Rios R. (A),
  • 58', Cuello , Julimar ,
  • 65', Caio Paulista , Vanderlan ,
  • 66', Flaco Lopez , Rony ,
  • 69', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 71', Rios R. , Fabinho ,
  • 78', Mauricio , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 78', Estevao , Giay A. ,
  • 81', Christian , Nikao ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
29.8%
Draw
28.5%
Palmeiras
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.6% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 28% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.63)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.28
    (2.55)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue (Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Injury) Dudu (Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense 0:2
    04.11.2023 Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    02.07.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras 2:2
    25.10.2022 Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras 1:3
    06.09.2022 Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense 2:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    24.08.2024 Palmeiras - Cuiabá 5:0
    21.08.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    18.08.2024 Palmeiras - São Paulo 2:1
    14.08.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 2:1
    11.08.2024 Flamengo - Palmeiras 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    10Ceara1764717:17022
    11Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1656517:20-321
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1839616:20-418
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet