ATK Mohun Bagan vs Punjab – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ISL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Sony Sports TEN 2, Star Sports 3
maldivesMaldivesMedianet

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.411.48
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
58
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
93
Passes
76% (304/402)75% (256/342)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.411.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.76
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
310
Shots outside the box
910
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
166
Passes
76% (304/402)75% (256/342)
Long passes
19% (9/47)38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
52% (53/102)59% (62/105)
Crosses
27% (3/11)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.77
Throw ins
2919
Fouls
616
Tackles
76% (13/17)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5239
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
1.760.90
Goals prevented
-0.24-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Dani Ramirez , Uvais M. (A),
  • 17', Rodriguez A. , Petratos D. ,
  • 17', Singh M. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Maclaren J. , Robinho (A),
  • 40', Bose S. 🟨,
  • 41', Ranbir P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Suhail F M. , Kipgen M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Effiong N. ,
  • 63', Ranbir P. , Augustine L. ,
  • 64', Osuji B. , Santos P. ,
  • 67', Effiong N. 🟨,
  • 69', Robinho , Cummings J. ,
  • 69', Tangri D. , Samad S. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Samad S. , Petratos D. (A),
  • 76', Bose S. , Ranawade A. ,
  • 77', Uvais M. , Rakesh Meitei L. ,
  • 83', Dani Ramirez , Meetei N. ,
  • 90', Rakesh Meitei L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Cummings J. ,
  • 90+4', Cummings J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Maclaren J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ATK Mohun Bagan
53.5%
Draw
26.3%
Punjab
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 23.3% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 24.3% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ATK Mohun Bagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ATK Mohun Bagan's form might have worsened.
  • Punjab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Punjab's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ATK Mohun Bagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Punjab than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Punjab, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.49)
    3.58
    (3.98)
    4.61
    (6.5)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mohun Bagan won 5.
    • Mohun Bagan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Punjab is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Mohun Bagan is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mohun Bagan won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:9. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mohun Bagan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab were as follows:
    05.02.2025 ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab 3:0
    26.12.2024 Punjab - ATK Mohun Bagan 1:3
    23.08.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab 4:3
    06.04.2024 Punjab - ATK Mohun Bagan 0:1
    23.09.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab 3:1
    Latest results of ATK Mohun Bagan
    Latest results of Punjab
    21.03.2026 Kerala Blasters - Punjab 1:3
    16.03.2026 Punjab - Goa 1:1
    09.03.2026 Punjab - NorthEast United 1:1
    27.02.2026 Bengaluru - Punjab 0:2
    Indian ISL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mumbai City853010:5518
    2Mohun Bagan852118:61217
    3Jamshedpur84319:6315
    4East Bengal742119:51414
    5Bengaluru FC842211:7414
    6Goa83419:6313
    7Punjab732211:8311
    8Inter Kashi83238:9-111
    9SC Delhi72239:10-18
    10North East Utd71336:14-86
    11Odisha FC61237:11-45
    12Chennaiyin71245:10-55
    13Kerala Blasters81165:13-84
    14Mohammedan70073:20-170

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