Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury
Result
96:72
01/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6570
Field Goals Made
3427
Field Goals %
52.3%38.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3454
2-Point Field Goals Made
2123
2-Point Field Goals %
61.8%42.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3116
3-Point Field Goals Made
134
3-Point Field Goals %
41.9%25%
Free Throws Attempted
1817
Free Throws Made
1414
Free Throws %
77.8%82.4%
Offensive Rebounds
69
Defensive Rebounds
3118
Total Rebounds
3727
Assists
2716
Blocks
76
Turnovers
79
Steals
74
Personal Fouls
1512

Chances of winning


Atlanta Dream
41.1%
Phoenix Mercury
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Dream's form might have worsened.
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Dream, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.88)

    1.64
    (1.86)
    4.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta Dream will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Dream will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Phoenix is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Atlanta will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1554:1577. (average 77.7:78.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 682:646. (average 75.8:71.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    23.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 79:90
    03.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 74:66
    23.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 80:82
    21.08.2024 Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury 72:63
    18.05.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 88:85
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

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