Result
1:3
15/03/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/308) | 81% (312/384) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (54/90) | 78% (114/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 74% (14/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Juarez R. 🟨,
- 21', Del Prete G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 1, Aguirre R. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
- 49', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 2, Calderon C. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
- 60', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Marquez J. (A),
- 67', Rodriguez B. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 3, Aguirre R. ⚽, Juarez R. (A),
- 75', Hernandez J. 🟥,
- 79', Zendejas A. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
- 79', Juarez R. ↓, Araujo N. ↑,
- 79', Fidalgo A. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 88', Aguirre R. ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
- 88', Aguirre E. ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
- 90+5', Coccaro M. 🟨,
- 90+11', Nervo H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlas
23.2% | Draw
25.9% | Club América
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Atlas - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.72) |
3.62 ↓
(3.7) |
1.85 ↓
(1.91) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Club América?
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 0.
- Recent matches Atlas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- América is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match América is a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in América: Lichnovsky I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano B.
(Knee Injury)
Serrato J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in América: dos Santos J.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Club América?
Atlas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Atlas?
Club América has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Club América were as follows:
17.09.2024
Club América
-
Atlas
3:0
09.08.2024
Club América
-
Atlas
2:1
02.03.2024
Atlas
-
Club América
1:5
20.08.2023
Club América
-
Atlas
1:1
25.02.2023
Atlas
-
Club América
2:2
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
