Result
2:4
24/08/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (134/191) | 89% (401/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 3.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (134/191) | 89% (401/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 60% (38/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 75% (115/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.34 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
- 32', Espinoza D. 🟨,
- 43', Borja C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, del Prete G. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Lozano J. (A),
- 62', Rodriguez B. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 62', Aguirre R. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
- 62', Espinoza D. ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
- 63', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Fidalgo A. ⚽, Alvarez K. (A),
- 77', Zendejas A. 🟨,
- 78', del Prete G. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
- 81', Zendejas A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
- 82', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 87', Juarez R. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽, Violante I. (A),
- 90+3', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 90+4', Violante I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Davila V. (Pen),
- 90+7', 2 - 4, Davila V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlas
19.6% | Draw
24.4% | Club América
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Atlas - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.71 ↑
(4.48) |
3.8 ↑
(3.75) |
1.69 ↓
(1.73) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlas - Club América?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). América will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Club América will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.
- Atlas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- América is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.
- Recently, América has had a series of home games.
- In this match, América is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Naveda S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Club América?
Atlas has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Atlas?
Club América has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Club América were as follows:
15.03.2025
Atlas
-
Club América
1:3
17.09.2024
Club América
-
Atlas
3:0
09.08.2024
Club América
-
Atlas
2:1
02.03.2024
Atlas
-
Club América
1:5
20.08.2023
Club América
-
Atlas
1:1
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Club America | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Atlas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Juarez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Puebla | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
