Atletico Ascoli vs Sammaurese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Sardo M. ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Sardo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 74', 2 - 1, ,
  • 86', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Atletico Ascoli
80.4%
Draw
14.5%
Sammaurese
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 24.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.
  • Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sammaurese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-38.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+27.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (2.25)
    6.32
    (3.45)
    17.61
    (2.62)
    9.5%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Atletico Ascoli (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Atletico Ascoli (2.09) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75, 1st Half - Atletico Ascoli (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Atletico Ascoli (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Atletico Ascoli (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sammaurese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
    Latest results of Sammaurese
    07.12.2025 Sammaurese - Ancona 0:3
    30.11.2025 L Aquila - Sammaurese 4:0
    23.11.2025 Sammaurese - Termoli 0:1
    16.11.2025 Ostia Mare - Sammaurese 7:0
    09.11.2025 Sammaurese - Notaresco 2:2
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare31227262:204273
    2Ancona31225455:213471
    3Teramo31209259:253469
    4Atletico Ascoli311411653:312253
    5L Aquila311471051:411049
    6Notaresco Calcio311211839:271247
    7Giulianova311015635:29645
    8Vigor Senigallia311112837:33445
    9Fossombrone3110101124:30-640
    10Unipomezia319111136:37-138
    11Maceratese311141642:44-237
    12Termoli30714924:26-235
    13Sora317111336:47-1132
    14Calcio Chieti315111526:53-2726
    15Recanatese31671833:55-2225
    16San Marino Calcio31671829:57-2825
    17Castelfidardo31652028:57-2923
    18Sammaurese30471928:64-3619

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