Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Forgione C. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Galluzzi E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Minicucci M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Urso N. ,

Chances of winning


Vigor Senigallia
29.5%
Draw
29.7%
Atletico Ascoli
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 28.6% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28.8% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vigor Senigallia's form might have worsened.
  • Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Senigallia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.6)
    3.05
    (3.14)
    2.22
    (2.45)
    10.3%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia 2:1
    13.04.2025 Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli 0:0
    03.03.2024 Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli 0:1
    29.10.2023 Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia 1:2
    Latest results of Vigor Senigallia
    Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare31227262:204273
    2Ancona31225455:213471
    3Teramo31209259:253469
    4Atletico Ascoli311411653:312253
    5L Aquila311471051:411049
    6Notaresco Calcio311211839:271247
    7Giulianova311015635:29645
    8Vigor Senigallia311112837:33445
    9Fossombrone3110101124:30-640
    10Unipomezia319111136:37-138
    11Maceratese311141642:44-237
    12Termoli30714924:26-235
    13Sora317111336:47-1132
    14Calcio Chieti315111526:53-2726
    15Recanatese31671833:55-2225
    16San Marino Calcio31671829:57-2825
    17Castelfidardo31652028:57-2923
    18Sammaurese30471928:64-3619

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation