Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Palencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 1 - 0, Mas C. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Astorga
65.2%
Draw
22.8%
Atlético Palencia
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 25.5% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 24.8% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Astorga's performance.
  • Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    3.95
    (3.55)
    7.56
    (6.11)
    10.8%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 1.
    • Atlético Astorga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlético Palencia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlético Astorga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Astorga is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga 3:2
    27.01.2024 Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga 0:0
    09.09.2023 Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia 1:1
    22.01.2023 Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga 1:1
    17.09.2022 Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Astorga
    Latest results of Atlético Palencia
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palencia CA870112:3921
    2Palencia CF861116:61019
    3Santa Marta Tormes852114:6817
    4Atl. Tordesillas85219:2717
    5Guijuelo852113:7617
    6Mansilles84226:5114
    7Colegios Diocesanos83327:5212
    8Almazan833211:10112
    9La Virgen83235:6-111
    10Bembibre831411:9210
    11Mirandes B83148:6210
    12Arandina83146:11-510
    13Becerril821510:15-57
    14Unionistas B81349:13-46
    15Leonesa B82068:13-56
    16CD Mojados81254:15-115
    17Villaralbo81162:12-104
    18Numancia B80353:10-73

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