Real Murcia vs Atlético Baleares – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares
Result
2:0
21/01/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Real Murcia
45.1%
Draw
30%
Atlético Baleares
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 27.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 29.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Baleares's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.69)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    3.73
    (4.55)
    9.1%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares?
  • Users Predictions: Real Murcia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Atlético Baleares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Murcia is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares were as follows:
    08.10.2023 Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia 0:1
    16.04.2023 Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares 0:1
    18.12.2022 Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia 0:3
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    14.01.2024 Melilla - Real Murcia 0:0
    29.12.2023 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:0
    17.12.2023 Castellón - Real Murcia 2:1
    10.12.2023 Real Murcia - Antequera 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Baleares
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3