Result
1:3
03/08/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/389) | 73% (192/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/389) | 73% (192/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (96/147) | 59% (39/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. ⚽, Duarte B. (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 44', Mena J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pardo F. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Torres E. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 46', Del Valle A. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 61', Fabry 🟥,
- 62', Londono K. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
- 67', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 68', Pons L. 🟨,
- 68', Castillo J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 75', Londono K. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 81', Garcia J. 🟥,
- 82', De Las Salas C. ↓, Henao C. ↑,
- 82', Sambueza F. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 84', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 85', Perez L. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 85', Mosquera J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 86', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Medina G. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc7h8kks
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
39.3% | Draw
30.8% | Atlético Bucaramanga
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1%)
Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.47) |
3.03 ↓
(3.05) |
3.13 ↑
(3) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Alianza Valledupar?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
23.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
18.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
14.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:4
28.04.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
10.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
