Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	0.52
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
20	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
89% (496/556)	73% (180/248)
Yellow Cards
5	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.46	1.60
Total shots
20	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
11	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
29	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
89% (496/556)	73% (180/248)
Long passes
62% (36/58)	45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
83% (180/218)	48% (25/52)
Crosses
27% (11/41)	40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.38
Throw-ins
20	18
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
40% (2/5)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
23	42
Clearances
5	40
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.60	0.46
Goals prevented
0.60	-2.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Mosquera J. ⚽, Gutierrez A. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
12', Mosquera J. 🟨,
16', Fernandez W. 🟨,
22', Castillo J. 🟨,
32', Charrupi G. 🟨,
45+2', Fernandez W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Zarate A. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
46', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
53', Munoz J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
63', Gutierrez A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
64', Charrupi G. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
71', Mosquera J. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
79', Lucumi C. ↓, Saldana L. ↑,
79', De Las Salas C. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Medina G. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
85', Suarez K. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
87', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
88', Mena J. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 1, Medina G. ⚽, Moreno N. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdh7zmb3

Chances of winning

Atlético Bucaramanga
50.3%

Draw
28.8%

Alianza Valledupar
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	4.46 ↓ (4.7)	7.1% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bucaramanga is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Alianza Valledupar?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

03.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3

23.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2

18.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 0:0

14.11.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:4

28.04.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

03.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 4:0 ✺

18.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

31.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar 2:3 ✺

15.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	17	10	4	3	29:13	16	34
2	Atl. Nacional	17	8	7	2	32:21	11	31
3	Junior	17	9	4	4	31:21	10	31
4	Ind. Medellin	17	9	4	4	36:27	9	31
5	Fortaleza	17	8	7	2	23:16	7	31
6	Deportes Tolima	17	9	2	6	22:15	7	29
7	Llaneros	17	7	4	6	16:16	0	25
8	Aguilas	17	6	6	5	26:23	3	24
9	America De Cali	17	6	5	6	18:16	2	23
10	Alianza	17	6	5	6	21:21	0	23
11	Santa Fe	17	5	7	5	17:16	1	22
12	Once Caldas	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
13	Millonarios	17	6	3	8	20:24	-4	21
14	Dep. Cali	17	5	5	7	21:25	-4	20
15	U. Magdalena	17	5	3	9	20:27	-7	18
16	Pereira	18	4	6	8	18:28	-10	18
17	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
18	Envigado	17	3	7	7	14:20	-6	16
19	Chico	17	3	7	7	13:23	-10	16
20	La Equidad	17	2	5	10	9:26	-17	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )