Result
1:3
03/08/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (309/389) | 73% (192/262) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.44 | 2.91 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (309/389) | 73% (192/262) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (20/45) | 40% (21/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (96/147) | 59% (39/66) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (6/26) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 1.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.91 | 0.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.09 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. ⚽, Duarte B. (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 44', Mena J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pardo F. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Torres E. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 46', Del Valle A. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 61', Fabry 🟥,
- 62', Londono K. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
- 67', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 68', Pons L. 🟨,
- 68', Castillo J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 75', Londono K. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 81', Garcia J. 🟥,
- 82', De Las Salas C. ↓, Henao C. ↑,
- 82', Sambueza F. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 84', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 85', Perez L. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 85', Mosquera J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 86', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Medina G. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 39.3% | Draw 30.8% | Atlético Bucaramanga 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1%)
Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.47) |
3.03 ↓ (3.05) |
3.13 ↑ (3) |
6.8% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Alianza Valledupar?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
23.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
18.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
14.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:4
28.04.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
10.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )