Alianza Valledupar vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
1:3
03/08/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.89
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (309/389)73% (192/262)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.91
Total shots
136
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
912
Passes
79% (309/389)73% (192/262)
Long passes
44% (20/45)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
65% (96/147)59% (39/66)
Crosses
23% (6/26)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.34
Throw-ins
3014
Fouls
129
Tackles
77% (10/13)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4136
Clearances
745
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.910.44
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. , Duarte B. (A),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Pons L. , Londono K. (A),
  • 44', Mena J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pardo F. , Munoz J. ,
  • 46', Torres E. , Gil M. ,
  • 46', Del Valle A. , Osorio J. ,
  • 61', Fabry 🟥,
  • 62', Londono K. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Garcia J. ,
  • 67', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 68', Pons L. 🟨,
  • 68', Castillo J. , Villegas C. ,
  • 75', Londono K. , Charrupi F. ,
  • 81', Garcia J. 🟥,
  • 82', De Las Salas C. , Henao C. ,
  • 82', Sambueza F. , Romana C. ,
  • 84', Rosales Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Perez L. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 85', Mosquera J. , Flores L. ,
  • 86', Pons L. , Medina G. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Medina G. , Garcia J. (A),

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
39.3%
Draw
30.8%
Atlético Bucaramanga
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 30.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 31.2% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.47)
    3.03
    (3.05)
    3.13
    (3)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Valledupar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2
    18.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 0:0
    14.11.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:4
    28.04.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    10.10.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )