Result
3:1
06/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (496/556) | 73% (180/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (496/556) | 73% (180/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (36/58) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (180/218) | 48% (25/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (11/41) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -2.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mosquera J. ⚽, Gutierrez A. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 12', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 16', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 22', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 32', Charrupi G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Torres E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 46', Zarate A. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 46', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 53', Munoz J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 63', Gutierrez A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 64', Charrupi G. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 71', Mosquera J. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
- 79', Lucumi C. ↓, Saldana L. ↑,
- 79', De Las Salas C. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Medina G. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 85', Suarez K. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 87', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
- 88', Mena J. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Medina G. ⚽, Moreno N. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdh7zmb3
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
50.3% | Draw
28.8% | Alianza Valledupar
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.82) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
4.46 ↓
(4.7) |
7.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Alianza Valledupar?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
03.08.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:3
23.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
18.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
14.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:4
28.04.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 17 | Envigado | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Chico | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
