Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	0.28
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
80% (281/350)	83% (436/525)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.12
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
12	10
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
80% (281/350)	83% (436/525)
Long passes
40% (16/40)	60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
62% (42/68)	65% (69/106)
Crosses
50% (3/6)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.34
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
77% (10/13)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
28	39
Clearances Total
16	10
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.12	1.82
Goals prevented
-0.93	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Arroyo A. 🟨,
21', Flores L. 🟨,
30', Romana C. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Castaneda F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
46', Valencia E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
56', Lencina G. 🟨,
63', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
67', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
75', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
78', Pons L. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
78', Sambueza F. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
79', Arroyo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽,
88', Fiermarin C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/t2nv3xes

Chances of winning

Deportes Tolima
45.8%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Bucaramanga
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

28.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.8)	3.08 ↓ (3.35)	4.22 ↓ (4.3)	5.4% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Nuestra Tele

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 16.1% – 74.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 1.
Deportes Tolima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:13 (average 0.9:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Tolima won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 0.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportes Tolima?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:

01.09.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 0:2

22.02.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0

01.09.2023 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0

20.03.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 1:1

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

01.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima 1:4 ✺

24.03.2025 Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA 1:0 ✺

19.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 4:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima 1:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

01.04.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Colo-Colo 3:3 ✺

28.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 2:0 ✺

23.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Fortaleza	5	2	3	0	8:6	2	9
4	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
5	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
6	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
7	Pereira	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
8	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
10	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Alianza	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
12	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
13	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
14	Bucaramanga	3	1	1	1	6:5	1	4
15	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
16	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
17	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
18	Aguilas	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3
19	Once Caldas	4	0	1	3	5:9	-4	1
20	Millonarios	3	0	0	3	0:3	-3	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )