Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/350) | 83% (436/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/350) | 83% (436/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (42/68) | 65% (69/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Arroyo A. 🟨,
- 21', Flores L. 🟨,
- 30', Romana C. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Castaneda F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 46', Valencia E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 56', Lencina G. 🟨,
- 63', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 67', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 75', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 78', Pons L. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
- 78', Sambueza F. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
- 79', Arroyo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽,
- 88', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/t2nv3xes
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
45.8% | Draw
30.9% | Atlético Bucaramanga
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.8) |
3.08 ↓
(3.35) |
4.22 ↓
(4.3) |
5.4%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 1.
- Deportes Tolima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:13 (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Tolima won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
01.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
22.02.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
01.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
20.03.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
