Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (288/363) | 82% (388/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (288/363) | 82% (388/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 48% (32/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 68% (79/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 43', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
- 45', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Sambueza F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
- 55', Larregui B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 71', Medina G. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
- 78', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 79', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 80', Nieto J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 84', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5dnbvhn9
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
42.5% | Draw
31.7% | Deportes Tolima
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.6) |
2.95 ↓
(3.1) |
3.63 ↑
(2.75) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
- Bucaramanga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
05.04.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
01.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
22.02.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
01.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
20.03.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
