Result
0:0
10/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (256/327) | 82% (354/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (256/327) | 82% (354/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/101) | 65% (72/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 14', Charrupi F. 🟨,
- 28', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
- 42', Nieto J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 49', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 61', Salazar J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 61', Nieto J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 64', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 75', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 75', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 80', Charrupi F. 🟨,
- 85', Sandoval L. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 85', Lopez E. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 87', Arrieta C. 🟨,
- 89', Mosquera J. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 89', Sambueza F. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 89', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 90+6', Flores L. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycybeajf
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
47.6% | Draw
31% | Deportes Tolima
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.05) |
3.01 ↑
(2.96) |
4.36 ↑
(4.04) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Deportes Tolima (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Deportes Tolima (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.
- Bucaramanga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportes Tolima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
03.12.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
22.11.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
19.09.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
05.04.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
01.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
