Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima
Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.40
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
79% (288/363)82% (388/473)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.510.02
Total shots
118
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
69
Passes
79% (288/363)82% (388/473)
Long passes
39% (22/57)48% (32/66)
Passes in final third
66% (50/76)68% (79/117)
Crosses
44% (4/9)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.56
Throw-ins
2032
Fouls
96
Tackles
83% (15/18)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4030
Clearances
2312
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.021.51
Goals prevented
0.02-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Quintana A. 🟨,
  • 43', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 45', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Sambueza F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Torres Patino J. P. , Perez K. ,
  • 55', Larregui B. , Lencina G. ,
  • 71', Gonzalez J. , Valencia E. ,
  • 71', Medina G. , Pons L. ,
  • 78', Gil Mosquera F. A. , Moreno N. ,
  • 79', Parra Osorio A. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 80', Nieto J. , Guzman S. ,
  • 84', Charrupi G. , Flores L. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, Pons L. , Sambueza F. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5dnbvhn9

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
42.5%
Draw
31.7%
Deportes Tolima
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 30.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 30% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.
  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.6)
    2.95
    (3.1)
    3.63
    (2.75)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
    • Bucaramanga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes Tolima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    01.09.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 0:2
    22.02.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    01.09.2023 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    20.03.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1466223:16724
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1426611:22-1112
    19Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    20La Equidad132567:18-1111

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )