Atlético Bucaramanga vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.35
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
80% (303/379)	72% (210/293)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.53
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
14	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
80% (303/379)	72% (210/293)
Long passes
44% (26/59)	40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
62% (76/122)	47% (36/76)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.62	0.40
Throw-ins
18	20
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
80% (12/15)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
40	46
Clearances
26	30
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.53	1.33
Goals prevented
0.53	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Urrego Hector 🟨,
16', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
23', Ramos N. 🟨,
33', Duarte B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duarte B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
46', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Gil Mosquera F. A. ⚽, Pons L. (A),
69', Tello J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
75', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
75', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
77', Sarmiento J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
77', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
83', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
83', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
87', Flores L. 🟨,
90', Sambueza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+5', De Las Salas C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpmx36fc

Chances of winning

Atlético Bucaramanga
68%

Draw
20.9%

Unión Magdalena
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.3%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

19.7%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.43 ↓ (4.57)	8.54 ↓ (9.77)	6.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.
Bucaramanga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Unión Magdalena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Bucaramanga has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bucaramanga is the clear favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Unión Magdalena?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena were as follows:

20.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1

21.10.2023 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2

06.05.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena 3:0

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

04.10.2025 Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 ✺

26.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla 3:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	11	8	0	3	23:9	14	24
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	12	6	5	1	23:13	10	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	12	5	6	1	17:15	2	21
5	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
6	Junior	11	6	1	4	17:16	1	19
7	America De Cali	10	5	2	3	15:8	7	17
8	Millonarios	12	5	2	5	19:13	6	17
9	Deportes Tolima	10	4	4	2	12:8	4	16
10	Dep. Cali	12	4	4	4	14:11	3	16
11	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
12	Aguilas	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15
13	Fortaleza	11	3	5	3	13:16	-3	14
14	Santa Fe	11	2	6	3	12:14	-2	12
15	Ind. Medellin	10	2	4	4	13:15	-2	10
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	3	1	7	10:21	-11	10
17	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
18	Chico	11	2	1	8	9:19	-10	7
19	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5
20	Alianza	10	0	5	5	5:19	-14	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )