Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 78% (276/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 78% (276/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.75 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 27', Marquez R. 🟨,
- 30', Giraldo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Ortiz D. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
- 58', Blanco R. 🟨,
- 66', Cardenas S. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
- 67', Artunduaga A. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
- 67', Penaranda A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 67', Chavez D. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 76', Andrade A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 78', Blanco R. ↓, Aragon O. ↑,
- 78', Marquez R. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
- 78', Murillo D. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
- 85', Zapata C. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90', Giraldo J. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. (Pen),
- 90+9', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 90+14', 1 - 1, Pons L. ⚽,
Highlights
http://tinyurl.com/dvwd727d
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
35.2% | Draw
33.2% | Atlético Bucaramanga
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.57) |
2.82 ↓
(3) |
2.98 ↑
(2.71) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Unión Magdalena (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 0.
- Unión Magdalena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Bucaramanga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Unión Magdalena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Unión Magdalena?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
21.10.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
06.05.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Unión Magdalena
3:0
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
