Unión Magdalena vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.53
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
80% (275/342)78% (276/355)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.47
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1617
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
80% (275/342)78% (276/355)
Long passes
49% (23/47)48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
68% (77/114)70% (73/105)
Crosses
11% (3/28)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.75
Fouls
1813
Tackles
71% (10/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4444
Clearances Total
1633
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.470.66
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 27', Marquez R. 🟨,
  • 30', Giraldo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Ortiz D. , Sanchez V. ,
  • 58', Blanco R. 🟨,
  • 66', Cardenas S. , Londono K. ,
  • 67', Artunduaga A. , Pons L. ,
  • 67', Penaranda A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 67', Chavez D. , Zarate A. ,
  • 76', Andrade A. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 78', Blanco R. , Aragon O. ,
  • 78', Marquez R. , Diaz K. ,
  • 78', Murillo D. , Aleman J. ,
  • 85', Zapata C. 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90', Giraldo J. , Barreto O. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
  • 90+14', 1 - 1, Pons L. ,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/dvwd727d

Chances of winning


Unión Magdalena
35.2%
Draw
33.2%
Atlético Bucaramanga
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 31.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.57)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.98
    (2.71)
    6.6%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Unión Magdalena (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 0.
    • Unión Magdalena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bucaramanga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Unión Magdalena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    21.10.2023 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2
    06.05.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

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