Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (303/379) | 72% (210/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (303/379) | 72% (210/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/122) | 47% (36/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Urrego Hector 🟨,
- 16', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
- 23', Ramos N. 🟨,
- 33', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Duarte B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 46', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Gil Mosquera F. A. ⚽, Pons L. (A),
- 69', Tello J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 75', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 75', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 77', Sarmiento J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 77', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
- 83', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
- 83', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
- 87', Flores L. 🟨,
- 90', Sambueza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 90+5', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mpmx36fc
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
68% | Draw
20.9% | Unión Magdalena
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.33) |
4.43 ↓
(4.57) |
8.54 ↓
(9.77) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.
- Bucaramanga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Unión Magdalena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Bucaramanga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Unión Magdalena?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
20.04.2025
Unión Magdalena
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
21.10.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
06.05.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Unión Magdalena
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
