Atlético Catarinense vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Atlético Catarinense - Joinville
09/02/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlético Catarinense
26.5%
Draw
32%
Joinville
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 34.7% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 34% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.
  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joinville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joinville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Catarinense - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (2.79)
    2.84
    (2.59)
    2.19
    (2.73)
    10%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Latest results of Atlético Catarinense
    Latest results of Joinville
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2