Atlético Catarinense vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Atlético Catarinense - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
1:2
11/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Atlético Catarinense
8.9%
Draw
17.4%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.6% 26.8% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 25.3% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Catarinense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.14
    (5.86)
    5.2
    (3.4)
    1.23
    (1.58)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Atlético Catarinense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Marcílio Dias is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Marcílio Dias is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Atlético Catarinense
    Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2