Result
1:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Elvas 49.6% | Draw 29.2% | Atlético da Malveira 21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Elvas - Atlético da Malveira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.66) |
3.11 ↓ (3.45) |
4.29 ↓ (4.58) |
10.2% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Elvas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Malveira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Elvas is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Elvas will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elvas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Elvas won against Atlético da Malveira?
Elvas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético da Malveira won against Elvas?
Atlético da Malveira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elvas - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
16.08.2025
Atlético da Malveira
-
Elvas
0:1
Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | -23 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | -25 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation