Atlético de Alagoinhas vs Doce Mel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel
Result
0:0
26/02/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Atlético de Alagoinhas
73.4%
Draw
17.9%
Doce Mel
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 25.9% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 16.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Alagoinhas's performance.
  • Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doce Mel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (-35.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Alagoinhas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doce Mel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.55)
    5.04
    (3.53)
    10.48
    (6.03)
    10.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Atlético de Alagoinhas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Doce Mel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Doce Mel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético de Alagoinhas is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Alagoinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    Latest results of Doce Mel
    11.02.2023 Doce Mel - Bahia 0:1
    07.02.2023 Itabuna - Doce Mel 1:1
    04.02.2023 Doce Mel - Juazeirense 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2