Almirante Brown vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela
Result
1:2
14/10/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 36
  • Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
106
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
72
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Jappert K. ,
  • 28', Jappert K. 🟨,
  • 35', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Tomatis B. ,
  • 52', Rodriguez F. , Quiroz L. ,
  • 57', Flores G. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 57', Diaz T. , Pittavino R. ,
  • 57', Fernandez B. , Portillo S. ,
  • 65', Tomatis B. , Colombo R. ,
  • 68', Cenci B. , Piteo M. A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Quiroz L. ,
  • 78', Quiroz F. , Wuattier E. ,
  • 78', Galeano J. , Fissore M. ,
  • 84', Aguirre J. , Valdivia M. ,
  • 85', Dichiara R. , Luciani V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almirante Brown
15.6%
Draw
27.8%
Atlético de Rafaela
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 32.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 32.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almirante Brown's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+23%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almirante Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-27.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6
    (2.44)
    3.34
    (2.86)
    1.65
    (3.22)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Rafaela: 21.5%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Atlético Rafaela is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Atlético de Rafaela - Almirante Brown 1:2
    Latest results of Almirante Brown
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0