Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional
Result
1:1
30/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
72
Corner kicks
95
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
11
Total shots
146
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Ponce F. 🟨,
  • 22', Aguirre E. 🟥,
  • 23', Ponce F. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Benitez A. ⚽, Magallanes D. (A),
  • 29', Moreno M. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
  • 44', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Solveyra A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
  • 46', Capurro J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
  • 46', Nouet F. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Quiroga M. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
  • 58', Moyano P. ↓, Gomez Barrionuevo M. ↑,
  • 58', Dellarossa J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
  • 58', Gutierrez I. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
  • 71', Gamarra G. ↓, Vaquer N. ↑,
  • 77', Wuattier E. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
  • 83', Sanchez F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
  • 90+4', Magallanes D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
40.7%		Draw
37%		Atlético de Rafaela
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 35.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 37.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.
  • Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↓
    (3.02)    		 2.53 ↓
    (2.6)    		 4.15 ↑
    (2.82)    		 7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 2.
    • Defensores is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Rafaela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensores is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela 0:0
    07.04.2024 Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano 0:1
    30.10.2023 Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano 1:0
    Latest results of Defensores de Belgrano
    21.03.2026 Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre 0:0 ✺
    14.03.2026 Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano 0:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Los Andes - Defensores de Belgrano 0:1
    22.02.2026 Defensores de Belgrano - Godoy Cruz 1:1
    14.02.2026 Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
    27.03.2026 Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela 3:0 ✺
    22.03.2026 Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela 0:1
    13.03.2026 Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan 1:0 ✺
    01.03.2026 Atlético de Rafaela - Temperley 1:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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