Result
1:1
30/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Ponce F. 🟨,
- 22', Aguirre E. 🟥,
- 23', Ponce F. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Benitez A. ⚽, Magallanes D. (A),
- 29', Moreno M. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 44', Fernandez G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solveyra A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Capurro J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 46', Nouet F. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Quiroga M. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
- 58', Moyano P. ↓, Gomez Barrionuevo M. ↑,
- 58', Dellarossa J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
- 58', Gutierrez I. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
- 71', Gamarra G. ↓, Vaquer N. ↑,
- 77', Wuattier E. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 83', Sanchez F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
- 90+4', Magallanes D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensores de Belgrano
40.7% | Draw
37% | Atlético de Rafaela
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(3.02) |
2.53 ↓
(2.6) |
4.15 ↑
(2.82) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 2.
- Defensores is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Rafaela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Defensores is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores de Belgrano won against Atlético de Rafaela?
Defensores de Belgrano has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against Defensores de Belgrano?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
24.08.2024
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Atlético de Rafaela
0:0
07.04.2024
Atlético de Rafaela
-
Defensores de Belgrano
0:1
30.10.2023
Atlético de Rafaela
-
Defensores de Belgrano
1:0
Latest results of Defensores de Belgrano
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colon Santa Fe | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Def. de Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Los Andes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Ciudad Bolivar | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ferro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Acassuso | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | All Boys | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Estudiantes | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Almirante Brown | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Nueva Chicago | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Midland | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Temperley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Quilmes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Atlanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Club A. Guemes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Almagro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Chacarita Juniors | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Patronato | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | San Martin S.J | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maipu | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Colegiales | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
