Sergipe vs Atlético Gloriense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Beto ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Thierry ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Marlon Martins ,
  • 81', Careca 🟥,
  • 85', Carioca 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
61.9%
Draw
25.1%
Atlético Gloriense
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 24.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 23% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Atlético Gloriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Gloriense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Sergipe - Atlético Gloriense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.55)
    3.64
    (3.65)
    7.03
    (5.43)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Sergipe is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • Sergipe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atlético Gloriense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Sergipe is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Sergipe will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Atlético Gloriense were as follows:
    13.01.2024 Atlético Gloriense - Sergipe 1:4
    22.02.2023 Atlético Gloriense - Sergipe 0:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    07.02.2026 Sergipe - Dorense 2:1
    31.01.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    21.01.2026 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Gloriense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)