Result
2:0
08/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (248/312) | 82% (276/337) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (47/75) | 69% (63/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 5% (1/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 35% (6/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Shaylon ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 39', Freitas G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Thaciano ⚽, Ademir (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rhaldney ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. (Pen),
- 60', Freitas G. ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
- 60', Adriano Martins ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 66', Thaciano ↓, Biel ↑,
- 67', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 71', Ademir ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 71', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 74', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 76', Derek ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
- 79', Jean Lucas ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 90+2', Yago Felipe 🟨,
- 90+5', Everaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
66.5% | Draw
20.1% | Atlético Goianiense
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Bahia - Atlético Goianiense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.45) |
4.72 ↑
(4.6) |
7.06 ↑
(6.61) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bahia - Atlético Goianiense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Atlético GO is Relegated to Serie B
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 0.
- Bahia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Atlético GO is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bahia is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Iago
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Atlético Goianiense?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Bahia?
Atlético Goianiense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
24.07.2024
Atlético Goianiense
-
Bahia
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
