Result
1:2
01/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 2
- Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (247/310) | 80% (267/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (247/310) | 80% (267/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (47/77) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
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| 20% (4/20) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Leo Jaco ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Betao ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
- 46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Leonai Souza ↑,
- 50', Leonai Souza 🟨,
- 55', Juninho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 55', Vitinho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 69', Igor Henrique ↓, Matheus Indio ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Vinicius ⚽, Yuri (A),
- 80', Mateus Silva ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 80', Guilherme ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
- 80', Leo Jaco ↓, Geovany Soares ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Igor Fernandes ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 83', Cristiano ↓, Jader ↑,
- 83', Ewerthon ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
- 85', Matheus Indio 🟨,
- 88', Wanderson 🟥,
- 90+5', Yuri 🟨,
- 90+9', Felipe Saraiva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Goianiense 43.7% | Draw 30.6% | Náutico Capibaribe 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (1.95) |
3.06 ↓ (3.13) |
3.57 ↓ (4.12) |
7.1% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Náutico: Junior Todinho
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Felipe
(Inactive)
Samuel Felix
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Atlético GO: Ramirez K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Atlético Goianiense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Atlético Goianiense?
Náutico Capibaribe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )