Atlético Goianiense vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 2
  • Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.370.74
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Passes
80% (247/310)80% (267/334)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.370.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.84
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1821
Passes
80% (247/310)80% (267/334)
Long passes
63% (29/46)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
61% (47/77)67% (65/97)
Crosses
20% (4/20)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.88
Throw ins
2323
Fouls
2118
Tackles
67% (10/15)50% (9/18)
Duels won
4660
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.840.99
Goals prevented
-1.16-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Leo Jaco , Guilherme (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Betao , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 46', Luiz Felipe , Leonai Souza ,
  • 50', Leonai Souza 🟨,
  • 55', Juninho , Victor Andrade ,
  • 55', Vitinho , Felipe Saraiva ,
  • 69', Igor Henrique , Matheus Indio ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Vinicius , Yuri (A),
  • 80', Mateus Silva , Wanderson ,
  • 80', Guilherme , Vitinho Lopes ,
  • 80', Leo Jaco , Geovany Soares ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Igor Fernandes , Dodo (A),
  • 83', Cristiano , Jader ,
  • 83', Ewerthon , Felipe Guimaraes ,
  • 85', Matheus Indio 🟨,
  • 88', Wanderson 🟥,
  • 90+5', Yuri 🟨,
  • 90+9', Felipe Saraiva 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
43.7%
Draw
30.6%
Náutico Capibaribe
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 29.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 29.2% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.95)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    3.57
    (4.12)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Náutico: Junior Todinho (Muscle Injury) Luiz Felipe (Inactive) Samuel Felix (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Atlético GO: Ramirez K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
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    2Avai32103:037
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    6Ceara31204:225
    7Vila Nova FC31205:415
    8Athletic Club31204:315
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    13Fortaleza31112:5-34
    14CRB30213:4-12
    15Novorizontino30212:4-22
    16Cuiaba30210:2-22
    17Ponte Preta30122:4-21
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Juventude30121:4-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

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